Weibull-Log Normal Analysis Workshop
I.D. # 86034 Duration 3 Days

RMS (Reliability-Maintainability-Safety-Supportability) engineering is emerging as the newest discipline in product development due to new credible, accurate, quantitative methods. Weibull Analysis is foremost among these new tools. New and advanced Weibull techniques are a significant improvement over the original Weibull approach. This workshop presents special methods developed for these data problems, such as Weibayes, with actual case studies in addition to the latest techniques in SuperSMITH® Weibull for risk forecasts with renewal and optimal component replacement. Class work is used to reinforce key concepts, lectures are based on actual case studies, and personal computers and hands-on experiments are used to analyze dozens of Weibull & Log Normal problems. Students will be fully capable of performing basic and advanced RMS Engineering analysis with their own software on completion of the workshop.

Attendees will receive the entire SuperSMITH® package - a complete self-study course and combined software package containing: SuperSMITH® Weibull, SuperSMITH® Visual, The New Weibull Handbook® - 5th Edition and the PlayTIMETM Tutorial Booklet. A $960 value!

***Attendee must bring laptop for this course.***

Optional Weibull Introduction
To accelerate your learning in this Workshop, you may want to complete the SAE Fast Track, Introduction to Weibull Engineering. This highly recommended overview of Weibull engineering can improve your retention prior to taking the workshop or provide a great review afterwards.
Learning Objectives
By attending this seminar, you will be able to:
  • Analyze design, development, production, and service failures
  • Model product lifetime and reliability
  • Evaluate calibration and maintainability plans
  • Analyze inspection data
  • Reduce test substantiation, time and costs
Who Should Attend
An engineering undergraduate degree in any discipline would be beneficial. Engineers responsible for reliability, safety, supportability, maintainability, materials, warranties, life cycle cost, design, structures, instrumentation and logistics will find these Weibull techniques extremely useful.
Seminar Content

DAY ONE
Undergraduate Weibull Analysis

  • Background, Development & Introduction - 23-Minute Video Short Course
  • How to do Weibull Analysis
  • Interpretation of Good Weibulls - 2 & 3 Parameter
  • Are two Weibull datasets significantly different?
  • Interpretation of Bad Weibulls
  • Failure Predictions and Weibull Risk Analysis
  • Case Studies, Failure Forecasting
  • Weibull Experiments (Wire Rupture, Torsion, LCF, Accelerated Testing), Classwork Problems and Solutions

DAY TWO
Postgraduate Weibull Analysis
  • Maximum Likelihood Weibull Theory and Application
  • WeiBayes Analysis
  • Dauser Shift, Warranty Analysis
  • Rank Regression vs. Maximum Likelihood
  • Extremely Small Samples Analysis
  • Log Normal Analysis
  • Predicting Future Failures With & Without Renewals
  • One Failure Weibull Case Study
  • An Introduction to SuperSMITH® Software, Features, Input, Analysis, Output
  • Summary of Weibull Methods
  • Class Work Problems
  • Experimental Wire Data Distribution Analysis
  • Optimal Replacement Intervals, Block Replacement
  • Playtime With SuperSMITH® Tutorial
  • Ph.D. Oral Examination

DAY THREE
Confidence Intervals and System Models
  • Confidence Intervals, "The Good, The Bad and The Complicated"
  • Comparing Designs
  • The Binomial & Poisson, The Thorndike Chart
  • Duane-AMSAA Reliability Growth Modeling - New Useful Technology for Tracking Development Testing
  • The Exponential Related to the Poisson and the Weibull
  • Kaplan-Meier Survival Analysis (Now Included in SuperSMITH® Weibull)
  • Duane-AMSAA Employed for Analyzing Renewal-Repairable Systems
  • System Models
  • Classwork
  • Complete Playtime With SuperSMITH®

Instructor(s): Wes Fulton
Mr. Wes Fulton is the Founder and CEO of Fulton Findings. Prior, he was a program engineer/manager for AiResearch Los Angeles Division, Allied-Signal Aerospace Corporation. As a program engineer for aircraft actuation projects he had engineering and management responsibility for the Indigenous Defensive Fighter (IDF) leading edge flap actuation system (LEFAS) development and production, the Rockwell/MBB X-31A LEFAS flight test program, and the F-16 Fighting Falcon LEFAS production and deployment support. He co-patented a multi-fuseable shaft (high performance drive train device). Additionally, Mr. Fulton has over 20 years of programming experience as a private programmer and developed SuperSMITH® Visual, WeibullSMITHTM, LogNormSMITHTM, Normal+SMITHTM, Visual*SMITHTM, BiWeibullSMITHTM, and MonteCarloSMITHTM analysis software. He received his B.S.M.E. from Georgia Tech and his M.S.M.E. from California State University at Long Beach.
Testimonial
"Very excellent course! Great instructor with exceptional knowledge on subject."
Gregory J. Barron
Test Coordinator
DaimlerChrysler Corporation

"An excellent overview of Weibull analyses that leaves the student with a basic understanding and the resources for further learning about the topic."
Rob Hight
Development Engineer
American BOA, Inc.

"Good comprehensive class on Weibull analysis technique. Brought me up-to-speed quickly."
William Mack
Senior Principle Engineer
Eaton Corporation

"Highly recommended for reliability and quality engineers. Techniques learned are invaluable."
Ken Marx
Senior Quality Engineer
Robert Bosch Corporation

"Every engineer should attend this course within the first year of graduation."
Evan Nixon
Application Engineer
Koyo Corporation of USA

This should be required for every USAF system safety engineer."
Robert Giese
Chief, Avionics Programs
U.S. Air Force

Fees: $2085 SAE Members*: $1665 - $1875
* The appropriate SAE Member discount will be applied through the Registration process.  Discounts vary according to level of membership: Elite Member 20%; Premium Member 15%; Classic Member 10%
CEU 2