Browse Learn 86034

Weibull-Log Normal Analysis Workshop 86034

RMS (Reliability-Maintainability-Safety-Supportability) engineering is emerging as the newest discipline in product development due to new credible, accurate, quantitative methods. Weibull Analysis is foremost among these new tools. New and advanced Weibull techniques are a significant improvement over the original Weibull approach. This workshop, originally developed by Dr. Bob Abernethy, presents special methods developed for these data problems, such as Weibayes, with actual case studies in addition to the latest techniques in SuperSMITH® Weibull for risk forecasts with renewal and optimal component replacement. Class work is used to reinforce key concepts, lectures are based on actual case studies, and personal computers and hands-on experiments are used to analyze dozens of Weibull & Log Normal problems. Students will be fully capable of performing basic and advanced RMS Engineering analysis with their own software on completion of the workshop.

Attendees will receive the entire SuperSMITH® package - a complete self-study course and combined software package containing: SuperSMITH® Weibull, SuperSMITH® Visual, The New Weibull Handbook® - 5th Edition and the PlayTIMETM Tutorial Booklet. A $960 value!

***Attendee must bring laptop for this course.***

Bonus Introductory Course Included
To accelerate your learning, you may want to complete the SAE On Demand Course, PD530946ON - Introduction to Weibull Solution Methods, prior to the Workshop. Your registration will give you online access to this highly recommended, 75-minute overview of Weibull Analysis approximately 10 days in advance of the course start date, access ending the last day of class.

Learning Objectives
By attending this seminar, you will be able to:
  • Analyze design, development, production, and service failures
  • Model product lifetime and reliability
  • Evaluate calibration and maintainability plans
  • Analyze inspection data
  • Reduce test substantiation, time and costs

Who Should Attend
An engineering undergraduate degree in any discipline would be beneficial. Engineers responsible for reliability, safety, supportability, maintainability, materials, warranties, life cycle cost, design, structures, instrumentation and logistics will find these Weibull techniques extremely useful.

Undergraduate Weibull Analysis

  • Background, Development & Introduction - 23-Minute Video Short Course
  • How to do Weibull Analysis
  • Interpretation of Good Weibulls - 2 & 3 Parameter
  • Are two Weibull datasets significantly different?
  • Interpretation of Bad Weibulls
  • Risk and Failure Forecasting Case Studies
  • Weibull Experiments (Wire Rupture, Torsion, LCF, Accelerated Testing), Classwork Problems and Solutions
  • Log Normal Analysis
  • Optimal Replacement Intervals, Block Replacement

Postgraduate Weibull Analysis
  • Maximum Likelihood Weibull Theory and Application
  • WeiBayes Analysis
  • Dauser Shift, Warranty Analysis
  • Rank Regression vs. Maximum Likelihood
  • Extremely Small Samples Analysis
  • One Failure Weibull Case Study
  • An Introduction to SuperSMITH® Software, Features, Input, Analysis, Output
  • Summary of Weibull Methods
  • Class Work Problems
  • Experimental Wire Data Distribution Analysis
  • Playtime With SuperSMITH® Tutorial

Confidence Intervals and System Models
  • Confidence Intervals, "The Good, The Bad and The Complicated"
  • Comparing Designs
  • The Binomial & Poisson
  • Crow-AMSAA Reliability Growth Modeling - Useful Technology for Tracking Development Testing and Any Significant Event to be Managed
  • The Exponential Related to the Poisson and the Weibull
  • Kaplan-Meier Survival Analysis
  • Crow-AMSAA Employed for Analyzing Renewal-Repairable Systems
  • System Models
  • Classwork
  • Complete Playtime With SuperSMITH®
  • Ph.D. Oral Examination

Registration for the web seminar (live, online) is available on a per-person basis, similar to purchasing a seat in a classroom. The fee includes one connection to WebEx training center, using a PC with internet access and VoIP or a telephone,* and access to a secure course in the SAE Learning Center for presentations, supplemental materials, assignments, and learning assessment. To enjoy a more personalized experience, use of a webcam is encouraged.

*Global toll-free telephone numbers are provided for many countries outside the U.S., but are limited to those on the WebEx call-in toll-free number list. Check here to see if your country has a global call-in toll free telephone number for this web seminar. If your country is not listed, you may still connect using the US/Canada Call-in toll number or VoIP. 

Although WebEx will automatically launch when you join the web seminar, you are encouraged to test your setup in advance of the course start date. Click here, then follow the onscreen instructions.

James Fulton; Carl Tarum

Mr. Wes (James) Fulton is the Founder and CEO of Fulton Findings. Prior, he was a program engineer/manager for AiResearch Los Angeles Division, Allied-Signal Aerospace Corporation. As a program engineer for aircraft actuation projects he had engineering and management responsibility for the Indigenous Defensive Fighter (IDF) leading edge flap actuation system (LEFAS) development and production, the Rockwell/MBB X-31A LEFAS flight test program, and the F-16 Fighting Falcon LEFAS production and deployment support. He co-patented a multi-fuseable shaft (high performance drive train device). Additionally, since 1998 Mr. Fulton has been a private programmer and developed SuperSMITH® Visual, WeibullSMITHTM, LogNormSMITHTM, Normal SMITHTM, Visual*SMITHTM, BiWeibullSMITHTM, and MonteCarloSMITHTM analysis software. He received his B.S.M.E. from Georgia Tech and his M.S.M.E. from California State University at Long Beach.

Carl Tarum is the Director of Software Research at Fulton Findings. Prior to his current position, he worked at Nexteer Automotive where he worked on functional safety for electric power steering. Prior roles included Design for Six Sigma Master Black Belt, where he taught, coached, and managed certification records. As a Reliability Engineer, he developed life testing and reliability predictions for hydraulic systems and new development. He has four patents related to steering systems. Additionally, Mr. Tarum developed the SuperSMITH® YBath™ and Help modules. He has conducted extensive research on p-value estimates for goodness of fits and methods to analyze mixtures of failure modes. He received his B.S.M.E from Montana State University, and his M.B.A from the University of Michigan – Flint.

Hotel & Travel Information

Fees: $2275.00
SAE Members: $2275.00 - $2275.00

2.0 CEUs
You must complete all course contact hours and successfully pass the learning assessment to obtain CEUs.

"This class is a great way to learn the details of Weibull analysis well enough to apply it to several scenarios. A great tool, no matter what profession you're in."
Bryon Huff
Product Engineer
American Axle and Manufacturing

"Very excellent course! Great instructor with exceptional knowledge on subject."
Gregory J. Barron
Test Coordinator
DaimlerChrysler Corporation

"An excellent overview of Weibull analyses that leaves the student with a basic understanding and the resources for further learning about the topic."
Rob Hight
Development Engineer
American BOA, Inc.

"Good comprehensive class on Weibull analysis technique. Brought me up-to-speed quickly."
William Mack
Senior Principle Engineer
Eaton Corporation

"Highly recommended for reliability and quality engineers. Techniques learned are invaluable."
Ken Marx
Senior Quality Engineer
Robert Bosch Corporation

"Every engineer should attend this course within the first year of graduation."
Evan Nixon
Application Engineer
Koyo Corporation of USA

This should be required for every USAF system safety engineer."
Robert Giese
Chief, Avionics Programs
U.S. Air Force


"Excellent coverage of weibull with high opportunity given to immediately apply to real world problems in class."
Joseph Schwenber
Bendix CVS LLC



If paying by a credit card, click the Register button above. If paying by any other method or for general inquiries, please contact SAE Customer Service 1-877-606-7323 (724-776-4970 outside the U.S. and Canada) or at

Duration: 3 Days
August 10-12, 2020 (8:30 a.m. - 4:30 p.m.) - Troy, Michigan
December 1-3, 2020 (8:30 a.m. - 4:30 p.m.) - Troy, Michigan

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