The Detection and Interdiction of Potential Catastrophes 2004-01-1144
Traditionally, reliability and risk analysis rested on the principles of probability theory as designers and engineers needed to know how often certain events would occur. However, there are events that must not occur, as occurrence would cause catastrophic loss. In this situation, probability theory under-predicts the possibility of failure. This paper addresses a method for analyzing designs for the possibility of events occurring which incorporates evidence theory.