Data were collected on alternative estimates of factors influencing fuel demand. These factors include: new vehicle registrations, vehicle miles of travel, vehicle scrappage and fuel economy. A methodology was then applied to assess the sensitivity of fuel demand to variations of each individual factor (within the range of the available data sources).
A Base Case projection of fuel demand by vehicle type and fuel type is presented in detail. In addition, the impacts of two realistic alternative cases representing increased conservation efforts and increased fuel consumption are also analyzed.