This paper quantitatively describes the life cycle of ABRS-equipped vehicles using stochastic modeling. The vehicle migration model integrates production forecasts, probabilities of survivorship and probabilities of such events as collision, ABRS deployment and fires to provide estimates of: - Annual vehicle production and the total population of vehicles “in use” - Number and percent of vehicles produced with ABRS and the percent of vehicles “in use” equipped with ABRS - Number of vehicles that are voluntarily and involuntarily retired to each of four end states: abandonment, active parts salvaging, passive parts salvaging, and metal reclamation - Number of ABRS deployments - Number of ABRS replacements
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