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Technical Paper

Analyzing the Expense: Cost Modeling for State-of-the-Art Electric Vehicle Battery Packs

2024-04-09
2024-01-2202
The Battery Performance and Cost Model (BatPaC), developed by Argonne National Laboratory, is a versatile tool designed for lithium-ion battery (LIB) pack engineering. It accommodates user-defined specifications, generating detailed bill-of-materials calculations and insights into cell dimensions and pack characteristics. Pre-loaded with default data sets, BatPaC aids in estimating production costs for battery packs produced at scale (5 to 50 GWh annually). Acknowledging inherent uncertainties in parameters, the tool remains accessible and valuable for designers and engineers. BatPaC plays a crucial role in National Highway Transportation Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) regulatory assessments, providing estimated battery pack manufacturing costs and weight metrics for electric vehicles. Integrated with Argonne's Autonomie simulations, BatPaC streamlines large-scale processes, replacing traditional models with lookup tables.
Technical Paper

Vehicle Lightweighting Impacts on Energy Consumption Reduction Potential Across Advanced Vehicle Powertrains

2024-04-09
2024-01-2266
The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) plays a crucial role in guiding the formulation of Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards, and at the forefront of this regulatory process stands Argonne National Laboratory (Argonne). Argonne, a U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) research institution, has developed Autonomie—an advanced and comprehensive full-vehicle simulation tool that has solidified its status as an industry standard for evaluating vehicle performance, energy consumption, and the effectiveness of various technologies. Under the purview of an Inter-Agency Agreement (IAA), the DOE Argonne Site Office (ASO) and Argonne have assumed the responsibility of conducting full-vehicle simulations to support NHTSA's CAFE rulemaking initiatives. This paper introduces an innovative approach that hinges on a large-scale simulation process, encompassing standard regulatory driving cycles tailored to various vehicle classes and spanning diverse timeframes.
Technical Paper

Assessing Powertrain Technology Performance and Cost Signposts for Electrified Heavy Duty Commercial Freight Vehicles

2024-04-09
2024-01-2032
Adoption of fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEV) or battery electric vehicles (BEV) in heavy-duty (HD) commercial freight transportation is hampered by difficult technoeconomic obstacles. To enable widespread deployment of electrified powertrains, fleet and operational logistics need high uptime and parity with diesel system productivity/total cost of ownership (TCO), while meeting safety compliance. Due to a mix of comparatively high powerplant and energy storage costs, high energy costs (more so for FCEV), greater weight (more so for BEV), slow refueling / recharging durations, and limited supporting infrastructure, FCEV and BEV powertrains have not seen significant uptake in the HD freight transport market. The use of dynamic wireless power transfer (DWPT) systems, consisting of inductive electrical coils on the vehicle and power source transmitting coils embedded in the roadways, may address several of these challenges.
Technical Paper

Component Sizing Optimization Based on Technological Assumptions for Medium-Duty Electric Vehicles

2024-04-09
2024-01-2450
In response to the stipulations of the Energy Policy and Conservation Act and the global momentum toward carbon mitigation, there has been a pronounced tightening of fuel economy standards for manufacturers. This stricter regulation is coupled with an accelerated transition to electric vehicles, catalyzed by advances in electrification technology and a decline in battery cost. Improvements in the fuel economy of medium- and heavy-duty vehicles through electrification are particularly noteworthy. Estimating the magnitude of fuel economy improvements that result from technological advances in these vehicles is key to effective policymaking. In this research, we generated vehicle models based on assumptions regarding advanced transportation component technologies and powertrains to estimate potential vehicle-level fuel savings. We also developed a systematic approach to evaluating a vehicle’s fuel economy by calibrating the size of the components to satisfy performance requirements.
Technical Paper

Impact of Advanced Technologies on Energy Consumption of Advanced Electrified Medium-Duty Vehicles

2024-04-09
2024-01-2453
The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) has been leading U.S. efforts related to the rulemaking process for Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards. Argonne National Laboratory, a U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) national laboratory, has developed a full-vehicle simulation tool called Autonomie that has become one of the industry standard tools for analyzing vehicle performance, energy consumption, and technology effectiveness. Through an Interagency Agreement, the DOE Argonne Site Office and Argonne National Laboratory have been tasked with conducting full vehicle simulation to support NHTSA CAFE rulemaking. This paper presents an innovative approach focused on large-scale simulation processes spanning standard regulatory driving cycles, diverse vehicle classes, and various timeframes. A key element of this approach is Autonomie’s capacity to integrate advanced engine technologies tailored to specific vehicle classes and powertrains.
Technical Paper

Powering Tomorrow's Light, Medium, and Heavy-Duty Vehicles: A Comprehensive Techno-Economic Examination of Emerging Powertrain Technologies

2024-04-09
2024-01-2446
This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of emerging powertrain technologies for a wide spectrum of vehicles, ranging from light-duty passenger vehicles to medium and heavy-duty trucks. The study focuses on the anticipated evolution of these technologies over the coming decades, assessing their potential benefits and impact on sustainability. The analysis encompasses simulations across a wide range of vehicle classes, including compact, midsize, small SUVs, midsize SUVs, and pickups, as well as various truck types, such as class 4 step vans, class 6 box trucks, and class 8 regional and long-haul trucks. It evaluates key performance metrics, including fuel consumption, estimated purchase price, and total cost of ownership, for these vehicles equipped with advanced powertrain technologies such as mild hybrid, full hybrid, plug-in hybrid, battery electric, and fuel cell powertrains.
Technical Paper

Modeling Pre-Chamber Assisted Efficient Combustion in an Argon Power Cycle Engine

2024-04-09
2024-01-2690
The Argon Power Cycle (APC) is a novel zero-emission closed-loop argon recirculating engine cycle which has been developed by Noble Thermodynamics Systems, Inc. It provides a significant gain in indicated thermal efficiency of the reciprocating engine by breathing oxygen and argon rather than air. The use of argon, a monatomic gas, greatly increases the specific heat ratio of the working fluid, resulting in a significantly higher ideal Otto cycle efficiency. This technology delivers a substantial improvement in reciprocating engine performance, maximizing the energy conversion of fuel into useful work. Combined Heat and Power (CHP) operating under the APC represents a promising solution to realize a net-zero-carbon future, providing the thermal energy that hard-to-electrify manufacturing processes need while at the same time delivering clean, dispatchable, and efficient power.
Technical Paper

Computational Investigation of Hydrogen-Air Mixing in a Large-Bore Locomotive Dual Fuel Engine

2024-04-09
2024-01-2694
The internal combustion engine (ICE) has long dominated the heavy-duty sector by using liquid fossil fuels such as diesel but global commitments by countries and OEMs to reduce lifecycle carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions has garnered interest in alternative fuels like hydrogen. Hydrogen is a unique gaseous fuel that contains zero carbon atoms and has desired thermodynamic properties of high energy density per unit mass and high flame speeds. However, there are challenges related to its adoption to the heavy-duty sector as a drop-in fuel replacement for compression ignition (CI) diesel combustion given its high autoignition resistance. To overcome this fundamental barrier, engine manufacturers are exploring dual fuel combustion engines by substituting a fraction of the diesel fuel with hydrogen which enables fuel flexibility when there is no infrastructure and retrofittability to existing platforms.
Technical Paper

Impact of Advanced Engine Technologies on Energy Consumption Reduction Potentials

2024-04-09
2024-01-2825
The establishment of Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards by the Energy Policy and Conservation Act (EPCA) of 1975 marked a pivotal moment in the automotive industry's pursuit of greater fuel efficiency. The responsibility for the development and enforcement of these standards was assigned to the U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT), with the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) assuming a critical role in their oversight and implementation. In collaboration with Argonne National Laboratory (Argonne), supported by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), significant strides have been made in advancing fuel efficiency through the development of Autonomie, a leading full-vehicle simulation tool. Through an Inter-Agency Agreement between the DOE Argonne Site Office and Argonne, comprehensive full-vehicle simulations are conducted to support NHTSA's CAFE rulemaking processes.
Technical Paper

Exploring Class 8 Long-Haul Truck Electrification: Key Technology Evaluation and Potential Challenges

2024-04-09
2024-01-2812
The phenomena of global warming and climate change are encouraging more and more countries, local communities, and companies to establish carbon neutrality targets, which has very significant implications for the US trucking industry. Truck electrification helps fleets to achieve zero tailpipe emissions and macro-scale decarbonization while allowing continued business growth in response to the rapid expansion of e-commerce and shipping related to increased globalization. This paper presents an analysis of Class 8 long-haul truck electrification using a commercial vehicle electrification evaluation tool and Fleet DNA drive data. The study provides new insight into the impacts of streamlined chassis, battery energy density, and superfast charging on battery capacity needs as well as implications for payload, energy consumption, and greenhouse gas emissions for electric long-haul trucks. The study also identifies a pathway for achieving optimal long-haul truck electrification.
Technical Paper

Analysis of Real-World Preignition Data Using Neural Networks

2023-10-31
2023-01-1614
1Increasing adoption of downsized, boosted, spark-ignition engines has improved vehicle fuel economy, and continued improvement is desirable to reduce carbon emissions in the near-term. However, this strategy is limited by damaging preignition events which can cause hardware failure. Research to date has shed light on various contributing factors related to fuel and lubricant properties as well as calibration strategies, but the causal factors behind an individual preignition cycle remain elusive. If actionable precursors could be identified, mitigation through active control strategies would be possible. This paper uses artificial neural networks to search for identifiable precursors in the cylinder pressure data from a large real-world data set containing many preignition cycles. It is found that while follow-up preignition cycles in clusters can be readily predicted, the initial preignition cycle is not predictable based on features of the cylinder pressure.
Technical Paper

Engine Operating Conditions, Fuel Property Effects, and Associated Fuel–Wall Interaction Dependencies of Stochastic Preignition

2023-10-31
2023-01-1615
This work for the Coordinating Research Council (CRC) explores dependencies on the opportunity for fuel to impinge on internal engine surfaces (i.e., fuel–wall impingement) as a function of fuel properties and engine operating conditions and correlates these data with measurements of stochastic preignition (SPI) propensity. SPI rates are directly coupled with laser–induced florescence measurements of dye-doped fuel dilution measurements of the engine lubricant, which provides a surrogate for fuel–wall impingement. Literature suggests that SPI may have several dependencies, one being fuel–wall impingement. However, it remains unknown if fuel-wall impingement is a fundamental predictor and source of SPI or is simply a causational factor of SPI. In this study, these relationships on SPI and fuel-wall impingement are explored using 4 fuels at 8 operating conditions per fuel, for 32 total test points.
Technical Paper

Trade-Offs and Opportunities to Improve Hybrid Vehicle Performance, Cost and Fuel Economy through Better Component Technology and Sizing

2023-04-11
2023-01-0477
Hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) have seen tremendous improvements in performance, fuel economy and cost over the last two decades. As battery and motor prices decrease, HEVs are likely to be even more attractive to consumers. This study considers how HEVs can improve and whether advancements in engines and other components will play a large role in the HEV segment. Past studies have relied on a rule-based component sizing approach for hybrids to meet certain performance criteria. By going beyond this approach, we can explore the design space by varying engine power and electric drivetrain power. This can provide more insights into the fuel-saving potential of HEVs, and the trade-offs required on performance or cost characteristics to achieve those savings. In this study, we examine the fuel-saving potential of three main hybrid powertrain architectures (parallel, series, and power-split) with varying degrees of hybridization (DOH) and using various engine technologies.
Technical Paper

HIL Demonstration of Energy Management Strategy for Real World Extreme Fast Charging Stations with Local Battery Energy Storage Systems

2023-04-11
2023-01-0701
Extreme Fast Charging (XFC) infrastructure is crucial for an increase in electric vehicle (EV) adoption. However, an unmanaged implementation may lead to negative grid impacts and huge power costs. This paper presents an optimal energy management strategy to utilize grid-connected Energy Storage Systems (ESS) integrated with XFC stations to mitigate these grid impacts and peak demand charges. To achieve this goal, an algorithm that controls the charge and discharge of ESS based on an optimal power threshold is developed. The optimal power threshold is determined to carry out maximum peak shaving for given battery size and SOC constraints.
Technical Paper

Auto Stop-Start Fuel Consumption Benefits

2023-04-11
2023-01-0346
With increasingly stringent regulations mandating the improvement of vehicle fuel economy, automotive manufacturers face growing pressure to develop and implement technologies that improve overall system efficiency. One such technology is an automatic (auto) stop-start feature. Auto stop-start reduces idle time and reduces fuel use by temporarily shutting the engine off when the vehicle comes to a stop and automatically re-starting it when the brake is released, or the accelerator is pressed. As mandated by the U.S. Congress, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is required to keep the public informed about fuel saving practices. This is done, in partnership with the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), through the fueleconomy.gov website. The “Fuel-Saving Technologies” and “Gas Mileage Tips” sections of the website are focused on helping the public make informed purchasing decisions and encouraging fuel-saving driving habits.
Journal Article

Optimizing Long Term Hydrogen Fueling Infrastructure Plans on Freight Corridors for Heavy Duty Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles

2023-04-11
2023-01-0064
The development of a future hydrogen energy economy will require the development of several hydrogen market and industry segments including a hydrogen based commercial freight transportation ecosystem. For a sustainable freight transportation ecosystem, the supporting fueling infrastructure and the associated vehicle powertrains making use of hydrogen fuel will need to be co-established. This paper develops a long-term plan for refueling infrastructure deployment using the OR-AGENT (Optimal Regional Architecture Generation for Electrified National Transportation) tool developed at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory, which has been used to optimize the hydrogen refueling infrastructure requirements on the I-75 corridor for heavy duty (HD) fuel cell electric commercial vehicles (FCEV).
Journal Article

Zero Dimension Heat Release Modeling for Gasoline, Ethanol, Isobutanol and Diisobutylene Operating in Compression Ignition with Varying Injection Strategies

2023-04-11
2023-01-0188
Gasoline compression ignition shows great potential in reducing NOx and soot emissions with competitive thermal efficiency by leveraging the properties of gasoline fuels and the high compression ratio of compression ignition engines operating air-dilute. Meanwhile, its control becomes challenging due to not only the properties of different gasoline-type fuels but also the impacts of injection strategies on the in-cylinder reactivity. As such, a computationally efficient zero-dimension combustion model can significantly reduce the cost of control development. In this study, a previously developed zero-dimension combustion model for gasoline compression ignition was extended to multiple gasoline-type fuel blends and a port fuel injection/direct fuel injection strategy. Tests were conducted on a 12.4-liter heavy-duty engine with five fuel blends.
Technical Paper

Quantifying the Sensitive Parameters of the New Energy Vehicles in China

2023-04-11
2023-01-0883
To achieve carbon neutrality by 2060, the Chinese government has put effort into decarbonizing the transportation sector. Consequently, China elaborated a new energy vehicle strategy promoting the production of electric vehicles and expanding into hydrogen (H2) vehicle technologies including fuel cell electric vehicles and H2 internal combustion engine vehicles. The Transportation Energy Analysis Model (TEAM) projects the market penetration as well as energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions in China up to 2050. By integrating the Monte Carlo simulation, this study tests the robustness of TEAM and investigates the key parameters that will shape passenger vehicle sales and emissions in the future. The results show that fuel cell cost, H2 price, and battery cost are the most sensitive parameters for H2 vehicle technologies.
Technical Paper

Light-duty Plug-in Electric Vehicles in China: Evolution, Competition, and Outlook

2023-04-11
2023-01-0891
China's plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) market with stocks at 7.8 million is the world's largest in 2021, and it accounts for half of the global PEV growth in 2021. The PEV market in China has dramatically evolved since the pandemic in 2020: over 20% of all new PEV sales are from China by mid-2022. Recent features of PEV market dynamics, consumer acceptance, policies, and infrastructure have important implications for both the global energy market and manufacturing stakeholders. From the perspective of demand pull-supply push, this study analyzes China's PEV industry with a market dynamics framework by reviewing sales, product and brand, infrastructure, and government policies from the last few years and outlooking the development of the new government’s 14th Five-Year Plan (2021-2025).
Journal Article

Development of a Supercharged Octane Number and a Supercharged Octane Index

2023-04-11
2023-01-0251
Gasoline knock resistance is characterized by the Research and Motor Octane Number (RON and MON), which are rated on the CFR octane rating engine at naturally aspirated conditions. However, modern automotive downsized boosted spark ignition (SI) engines generally operate at higher cylinder pressures and lower temperatures relative to the RON and MON tests. Using the naturally aspirated RON and MON ratings, the octane index (OI) characterizes the knock resistance of gasolines under boosted operation by linearly extrapolating into boosted “beyond RON” conditions via RON, MON, and a linear regression K factor. Using OI solely based on naturally aspirated RON and MON tests to extrapolate into boosted conditions can lead to significant errors in predicting boosted knock resistance between gasolines due to non-linear changes in autoignition and knocking characteristics with increasing pressure conditions.
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