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This paper assesses the potential improvement of automotive powertrain technologies 25 years into the future. The powertrain types assessed include naturally-aspirated gasoline engines, turbocharged gasoline engines, diesel engines, gasoline-electric hybrids, and various advanced transmissions. Advancements in aerodynamics, vehicle weight reduction and tire rolling friction are also taken into account. The objective of the comparison is the potential of anticipated improvements in these powertrain technologies for reducing petroleum consumption and greenhouse gas emissions at the same level of performance as current vehicles in the U.S.A. The fuel consumption and performance of future vehicles was estimated using a combination of scaling laws and detailed vehicle simulations. The results indicate that there is significant potential for reduction of fuel consumption for all the powertrains examined.

The transportation sector in the United States is a major contributor to global energy consumption and carbon dioxide emission. To assess the future potentials of different technologies in addressing these two issues, we used a family of simulation programs to predict fuel consumption for passenger cars in 2020. The selected technology combinations that have good market potential and could be in mass production include: advanced gasoline and diesel internal combustion engine vehicles with automatically-shifting clutched transmissions, gasoline, diesel, and compressed natural gas hybrid electric vehicles with continuously variable transmissions, direct hydrogen, gasoline and methanol reformer fuel cell hybrid electric vehicles with direct ratio drive, and battery electric vehicle with direct ratio drive.

Gear whine in 1st and 2nd gears in a new rear wheel drive automatic transmission was identified as a potential customer dis-satisfier. Improvements to the vehicle system were implemented, but did not sufficiently reduce the noise. CAE modeling and hardware testing were used for gear tooth optimization, transmission system, driveline, and vehicle system studies. The planetary gears were re-designed with increased contact ratio, and significant interior noise reduction was achieved; but some vehicles still had excessive noise due to gear parameter variability from multiple sources. Using a DOE and statistical studies, a set of gear parameter targets were identified within the tolerances of the design, which achieved the program objectives for noise.

To manage the function of a vehicle's engine, transmission, and related subsystems, almost all modern vehicles make use of one or more electronic controllers running embedded software, henceforth referred to as a Powertrain Controller System or PCS. Fully validating this PCS is a necessary step of vehicle development, and the validation process requires extensive amounts of testing. Within the automotive industry, more and more of this validation testing is being performed using Hardware-in-the-Loop (HIL) simulators to automate the extensive test sequences. A HIL simulation typically mates the physical PCS to a closed-loop real time computer simulation of a powertrain. Interfacing the physical PCS hardware to a powertrain simulation requires the HIL simulator to have extensive signal input/output (I/O) electronics and simulated actuator electrical loading.

The stand alone oil to air (OTA) transmission cooling strategy provides improved transmission cooling under high ambient air temperature operating conditions, which improves transmission reliability, durability and overall customer satisfaction. Another means of improving reliability and durability is through improved transmission warmup under low ambient air temperature operating conditions. To allow for improved transmission warmup, a thermostatic cold flow bypass valve has been incorporated into the transmission oil cooler. The bypass valve shuts off flow to the transmission oil cooler until a predetermined fluid temperature has been achieved. Once this temperature is reached, oil is allowed to flow to the transmission oil cooler. Visteon Climate Control Systems (VCCS) has tested both the stand alone OTA transmission cooling strategy with thermostatic cold flow bypass valve and the conventional transmission cooling strategy, comparing the transmission system warmup rates.

The work described in this paper was carried out on a specialist engine dynamometer which allows accurate simulation of in-vehicle conditions. This is achieved by the use of a clutch between the engine and dynamometer which allows realistic simulation of gearchanges. The presence of a clutch means that the dynamometer has two distinct modes of operation, corresponding to a engaged or disengaged clutch. This paper describes the design of a speed control scheme, providing bumpless transfer between two controllers, which has been developed to satisfy the differing control requirements of disengaged and engaged operation. Brief discussion of the controllers and bumpless transfer scheme is followed by presentation of test results. Finally, the performance of this scheme is compared with that of an existing hardware controller.

In a recent paper (Hoult & Meador, [1]) a novel method of estimating the costs of parts, and assemblies of parts, was presented. This paper proposed that the metric for increments of cost was the function log (dimension/tolerance). Although such log functions have a history,given in [1], starting with Boltzman and Shannon, it is curious that it arises in cost models. In particular, the thermodynamic basis of information theory, given by Shannon [2], seems quite implausible in the present context. In [1], we called the cost theory “Complexity Theory”, mainly to distinguish it from information theory. A major purpose of the present paper is to present a rigorous argument of how the log function arises in the present context. It happens that the agrument hinges on two key issues: properties of the machine making or assembling the part, and a certain limit process. Neither involves thermodynamic reasoning.