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High-fidelity finite element (FE) tire-snow interaction models have the advantage of better understanding the physics of the tire-snow system. They can be used to develop semi-analytical models for vehicle design as well as to design and interpret field test results. For off-terrain conditions, there is a high level of uncertainties inherent in the system. The FE models are computationally intensive even when uncertainties of the system are not taken into account. On the other hand, field tests of tire-snow interaction are very costly. In this paper, dynamic metamodels are established to interpret interaction forces from FE simulation and to predict those forces by using part of the FE data as training data and part as validation data. Two metamodels are built based upon the Krieging principle: one has principal component analysis (PCA) taken into account and the other does not.

The objective of this paper is to assess the effect of snow density on tire-snow interaction in the presence of uncertainty. The snow-depth dependent finite element analysis (FEA) and semi-analytical models we have developed recently can predict tire-snow interfacial forces at a given density under combined slip conditions. One drawback of the models is that they are only applicable for fresh, low-density snow due to the unavailability of a density-dependent snow model. In reality, the snow density on the ground can vary between that of fresh snow to heavily compacted snow that is similar to ice. Even for fresh snow on the ground, as a vehicle moves forward, the rear wheels experience higher snow densities than the front wheels. In addition, being a natural material, snow's physical properties vary significantly even for the same density.