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Weibull analysis is widely used in many industries to predict the fatigue life of different components. Three typical Weibull distributions are introduced in this paper. The application of two parameter Weibull distribution in exhaust component fatigue life prediction is presented. Potential issues in component testing are addressed. Criteria are provided to define normal test data, and when replacement of a tested sample is required. The studies demonstrate that Weibull method is effective to predict component R90C90 life. However, data investigation and processing are critical to predict component life properly. The predicted fatigue life may differ by more than an order of magnitude if the sample life data is unrepresentative of the testing and manufacturing conditions.

Durability performance is one of the most important aspects of exhaust system design. Great effort has been expended to develop the ability to accurately and quickly predict the durability of the system in the early development stages. Welded joints in an exhaust system are the most prone to failure; however, the fatigue life of a welded joint is usually much more difficult to predict than that of a base material. The difficulty of predicting the fatigue life of a welded structure lies primarily in the variability associated with the elements of a weldment, including differing material and gap requirements, notch generation, residual stresses, and imprecise application, among others. The experts at the Battelle Center for Welded Structures Research have developed an approach to predict the fatigue life of a welded structure known as the Verity method.