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Engineering design-decisions often involve many attributes which can differ in the levels of their importance to the decision maker (DM), while also exhibiting complex statistical relationships. Learning a decision-making policy which accurately represents the DM’s actions has long been the goal of decision analysts. To circumvent elicitation and modeling issues, this process is often oversimplified in how many factors are considered and how complicated the relationships considered between them are. Without these simplifications, the classical lottery-based preference elicitation is overly expensive, and the responses degrade rapidly in quality as the number of attributes increase. In this paper, we investigate the ability of deep preference machine learning to model high-dimensional decision-making policies utilizing rankings elicited from decision makers.

In the automotive industry, a Malfunction Indicator Light (MIL) is commonly employed to signify a failure or error in a vehicle system. To identify the root cause that has triggered a particular fault, a technician or engineer will typically run diagnostic tests and analyses. This type of analysis can take a significant amount of time and resources at the cost of customer satisfaction and perceived quality. Predicting an impending error allows for preventative measures or actions which might mitigate the effects of the error. Modern vehicles generate data in the form of sensor readings accessible through the vehicle’s Controller Area Network (CAN). Such data is generally too extensive to aid in analysis and decision making unless machine learning-based methods are used. This paper proposes a method utilizing a recurrent neural network (RNN) to predict an impending fault before it occurs through the use of CAN data.

The reliability theory of repairable systems is vastly different from that of non-repairable systems. The authors have recently proposed a ‘decision-based’ framework to design and maintain repairable systems for optimal performance and reliability using a set of metrics such as minimum failure free period, number of failures in planning horizon (lifecycle), and cost. The optimal solution includes the initial design, the system maintenance throughout the planning horizon, and the protocol to operate the system. In this work, we extend this idea by incorporating flexibility and demonstrate our approach using a smart charging electric microgrid architecture. The flexibility is realized by allowing the architecture to change with time. Our approach “learns” the working characteristics of the microgrid. We use actual load and supply data over a short time to quantify the load and supply random processes and also establish the correlation between them.

In this article we present an approach to identify the system topology using simulation for reliability calculations. The system topology provides how all components in a system are functionally connected. Most reliability engineering literature assumes that either the system topology is known and therefore all failure modes can be deduced or if the system topology is not known we are only interested in identifying the dominant failure modes. The authors contend that we should try to extract as much information about the system topology from failure or success information of a system as possible. This will not only identify the dominant failure modes but will also provide an understanding of how the components are functionally connected, allowing for more complicated analyses, if needed. We use an evolutionary approach where system topologies are generated at random and then tested against failure or success data. The topologies evolve based on how consistent they are with test data.