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Technical Paper

A Simulation-Based Approach to Incorporate Uncertainty in Reliability Growth Planning (RGP)

2020-04-14
2020-01-0742
The development of complex engineering systems often encounters various challenges in terms of meeting New Product Development (NPD) assigned budget, launch time, and system performance goals. Most of the NPD processes have been experiencing challenges to meet these goals within an increasingly competitive global market environment. These challenges become more complicated to manage when the development process is long with different sources of uncertainty. Despite decades of industrial experience and academic research efforts in managing NPD processes, it is observed that designing and developing increasingly complex systems, e.g., automotive, is still subjected to significant cost overrun, schedule delays, and functional issues during early design stages. To provide a Reliability Growth Planning (RGP) model, several inputs are required, e.g., the initial reliability estimation, the reliability goal, test recourses, and the duration of the design or test period.
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