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Cyclic variation is examined by: (1) conditional grouping and heat-release analysis to reveal different modes of combustion, (2) considering the order in which the burn modes occur to establish prior-cycle effects and (3) comparing the measured variation in IMEP with data generated by simple models. Results show that several burn modes may exist, particularly under fuel-lean conditions. Prior-cycle effects also become more obvious as the air-fuel ratio is increased. Finally, comparisons with data generated by simple models show that the nature of cyclic variation may range from completely stochastic to a superposition of a non-chaotic deterministic process on a stochastic process.