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Warranty forecasting of repairable systems is very important for manufacturers of mass produced systems. It is desired to predict the Expected Number of Failures (ENF) after a censoring time using collected failure data before the censoring time. Moreover, systems may be produced with a defective component resulting in extensive warranty costs even after the defective component is detected and replaced with a new design. In this paper, we present a forecasting method to predict the ENF of a repairable system using observed data which is used to calibrate a Generalized Renewal Processes (GRP) model. Manufacturing of products may exhibit different production patterns with different failure statistics through time. For example, vehicles produced in different months may have different failure intensities because of supply chain differences or different skills of production workers, for example.

Drive cycles are a core piece of vehicle development testing methodology. The control and calibration of the vehicle is often tuned over drive cycles as they are the best representation of the real-world driving the vehicle will see during deployment. To obtain general performance numerous drive cycles must be generated to ensure final control and calibration avoids overfitting to the specifics of a single drive cycle. When real-world driving cycles are difficult to acquire methods can be used to create statistically similar synthetic drive cycles to avoid the overfitting problem. This subject has been well addressed within the passenger vehicle domain but must be expanded upon for utilization with tracked off-road vehicles. Development of hybrid tracked vehicles has increased this need further. This study shows that turning dynamics have significant influence on the vehicle power demand and on the power demand on each individual track.

Design of internal combustion (IC) engine pistons is dependent on accurate prediction of the temperature field in the component. Experimental temperature measurements can be taken but are costly and typically limited to a few select locations. High-fidelity computer simulations can be used to predict the temperature at any number of locations within the model, but the models must be calibrated for the predictions to be accurate. The largest barrier to calibration of piston thermal models is estimating the backside boundary conditions, as there is not much literature available for these boundary conditions. Bayesian model calibration is a common choice for model calibration in literature, but little research is available applying this method to piston thermal models. Neural networks have been shown in literature to be effective for calibration of piston thermal models.