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The paper provides an approach to establish compliance with current regulatory standards applicable to lightning protection of the fuel tank structure for Non-Fault Tolerant Feature Failures (NFTFF) through a numerical probability assessment. The proposed procedure is using the criteria defined in the FAA Policy Guidance for fuel tank structural lightning protection and is aligned with the regulatory path described as petitioning for an exemption. Failure modes of structural components for which fault tolerance has been shown to be impractical need to be addressed and the overall likelihood of fuel vapour ignition due to these failure modes must be shown to be extremely improbable. In order to accomplish this, the quantitative assessment of the overall probability of fuel vapour ignition is performed, along with all relevant data to support the probabilities determined for the purpose of this analysis.