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A process for creating a Customer Correlated, Accelerated, Life Test is presented. This process, which results in a model for predicting reliability, has been applied to a cold weather piston scuff problem. In this paper, the authors will discuss development of frequency distributions for customer environmental and operational use, establishment of customer based failure criteria, development of an accelerated test based on degradation, selection of testing strategies, data analyses, and measurement techniques.

A method is described for predicting the reliability and useful life of an automotive powertrain system using a warranty database or from warranty records. The database requires failure corrections for misdiagnosis from duplicate data, trouble-not-identified records and multiple failure modes. Compensations not included in the database for high-mileage drop-out and warranty repairs less than the deductible amount, are also necessary. As an example, the cumulative hazard function of the Bathtub Hazard Rate distribution is fitted to the converted removal data of a typical automotive powertrain, to determine the product life characteristics. An algorithm written in Basic language is used to obtain the analytical results.

A measure of functional degradation or its surrogate is more informative than attribute data such as failure time when improving designs or developing meaningful tests. This paper delineates the advantages and disadvantages of using degradation data, and the situations under which one should or should not use degradation analysis. A comparison has been done between degradation testing, testing to failure, and bogey testing. The steps necessary to apply degradation analysis techniques to product design have been described: determine scope of the project, plan degradation test, collect data, analyze data, and document results. A case study has been used to demonstrate the whole process of degradation analysis techniques.

This paper outlines the key elements in a laboratory reliability verification test program for an automotive sub-system. Many of these elements are described in some detail through the various stages of development from prototype concept to production. By means of an actual case study, verification testing of the 1970 Ford Anti-Theft Steering Column, steps required to design tests which yield meaningful information and the rationale used to analyze the results are presented. The steering column on a late model automobile is a complex system which combines several functions and features; steering, shifting, warning devices (turn signal and emergency flashers), ignition switch, anti-theft devices plus several safety features. The effectiveness of the overall verification program is evaluated through the presentation of actual field-feedback results.