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Technical Paper

Predicting Distillation Properties of Gasoline Fuel Blends using Machine Learning

2022-08-30
2022-01-1086
Distillation properties of gasoline are regulated to ensure the safe and efficient operation of SI-engines. Blending various gasoline components affects the distillation values in a non-linear fashion, making the prediction of these properties challenging. Furthermore, the rise of renewable components necessitates the development of new property prediction methods. In this work, a variety of Machine Learning models were created to predict the distillation points of gasoline blends based on the blending recipe. As input data, real industrial data from a refinery was used together with data from blends created for R&D purposes. The predicted properties were the evaporated volume at the 70 and 100 °C distillation points (E70 and E100). Altogether four different machine learning models were trained, cross-validated and tested using seven different pre-processing methods. It was found that Support Vector Regression (SVR) was the most effective at predicting the distillation points.
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