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Growing environmental concerns and stringent vehicle emissions regulations has created an urge in the automotive industry to move towards electrified propulsion systems. Reducing and eliminating the emission from public transportation vehicles plays a major role in contributing towards lowering the emission level. Battery electric buses are regarded as a type of promising green mass transportation as they provide the advantage of less greenhouse gas emissions per passenger. However, the electric bus faces a problem of limited range and is not able to drive throughout the day without being recharged. This research studies a public bus transit system example which servicing the city of Ann Arbor in Michigan and investigates the impact of different electrification levels on the final CO2 reduction. Utilizing models of a conventional diesel, hybrid electric, and battery electric bus, the CO2 emission for each type of transportation bus is estimated.

This paper presents a framework for modeling a modern diesel engine and its aftertreatment system which are intended to be used for real-time implementation as a virtual engine and in a model-based control architecture to predict critical variables such as fuel consumption and tailpipe emissions. The models are specifically able to capture the impact of critical control variables such as the Exhaust Gas Recirculation (EGR) valve position and fuel injection timing, as well as operating conditions of speed and torque, on the engine airpath variables and emissions during transient driving conditions. To enable real-time computation of the models, a minimal realization of the nonlinear airpath model is presented and it is coupled with a cycle averaged NOx emissions predictor to estimate feed gas NOx emissions. Then, the feedgas enthalpy is used to calculate the thermal behavior of the aftertreatment system required for prediction of tailpipe emissions.