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Technical Paper

Reconciling Simultaneous Evolution of Ground Vehicle Capabilities and Operator Preferences

2020-04-14
2020-01-0172
An objective evaluation of ground vehicle performance is a challenging task. This is further exacerbated by the increasing level of autonomy, dynamically changing the roles and capabilities of these vehicles. In the context of decision making involving these vehicles, as the capabilities of the vehicles improve, there is a concurrent change in the preferences of the decision makers operating the vehicles that must be accounted for. Decision based methods are a natural choice when multiple conflicting attributes are present, however, most of the literature focuses on static preferences. In this paper, we provide a sequential Bayesian framework to accommodate time varying preferences. The utility function is considered a stochastic function with the shape parameters themselves being random variables. In the proposed approach, initially the shape parameters model either uncertain preferences or variation in the preferences because of the presence of multiple decision makers.
Technical Paper

Reliability and Resiliency Definitions for Smart Microgrids Based on Utility Theory

2017-03-28
2017-01-0205
Reliability and resiliency (R&R) definitions differ depending on the system under consideration. Generally, each engineering sector defines relevant R&R metrics pertinent to their system. While this can impede cross-disciplinary engineering projects as well as research, it is a necessary strategy to capture all the relevant system characteristics. This paper highlights the difficulties associated with defining performance of such systems while using smart microgrids as an example. Further, it develops metrics and definitions that are useful in assessing their performance, based on utility theory. A microgrid must not only anticipate load conditions but also tolerate partial failures and remain optimally operating. Many of these failures happen infrequently but unexpectedly and therefore are hard to plan for. We discuss real life failure scenarios and show how the proposed definitions and metrics are beneficial.
Journal Article

A Decision Based Mobility Model for Semi and Fully Autonomous Vehicles

2020-04-14
2020-01-0747
With the emergence of intelligent ground vehicles, an objective evaluation of vehicle mobility has become an even more challenging task. Vehicle mobility refers to the ability of a ground vehicle to traverse from one point to another, preferably in an optimal way. Numerous techniques exist for evaluating the mobility of vehicles on paved roads, both quantitatively and qualitatively, however, capabilities to evaluate their off-road performance remains limited. Whereas a vehicle’s off-road mobility may be significantly enhanced with intelligence, it also introduces many new variables into the decision making process that must be considered. In this paper, we present a decision analytic framework to accomplish this task. In our approach, a vehicle’s mobility is modeled using an operator’s preferences over multiple mobility attributes of concern. We also provide a method to analyze various operating scenarios including the ability to mitigate uncertainty in the vehicles inputs.
Technical Paper

Topological Data Analysis for Navigation in Unstructured Environments

2023-04-11
2023-01-0088
Autonomous vehicle navigation, both global and local, makes use of large amounts of multifactorial data from onboard sensors, prior information, and simulations to safely navigate a chosen terrain. Additionally, as each mission has a unique set of requirements, operational environment and vehicle capabilities, any fixed formulation for the cost associated with these attributes is sub-optimal across different missions. Much work has been done in the literature on finding the optimal cost definition and subsequent mission pathing given sufficient measurements of the preference over the mission factors. However, obtaining these measurements can be an arduous and computationally expensive task. Furthermore, the algorithms that utilize this large amount of multifactorial data themselves are time consuming and expensive.
Technical Paper

Fault Diagnosis and Prediction in Automotive Systems with Real-Time Data Using Machine Learning

2022-03-29
2022-01-0217
In the automotive industry, a Malfunction Indicator Light (MIL) is commonly employed to signify a failure or error in a vehicle system. To identify the root cause that has triggered a particular fault, a technician or engineer will typically run diagnostic tests and analyses. This type of analysis can take a significant amount of time and resources at the cost of customer satisfaction and perceived quality. Predicting an impending error allows for preventative measures or actions which might mitigate the effects of the error. Modern vehicles generate data in the form of sensor readings accessible through the vehicle’s Controller Area Network (CAN). Such data is generally too extensive to aid in analysis and decision making unless machine learning-based methods are used. This paper proposes a method utilizing a recurrent neural network (RNN) to predict an impending fault before it occurs through the use of CAN data.
Technical Paper

High Dimensional Preference Learning: Topological Data Analysis Informed Sampling for Engineering Decision Making

2024-04-09
2024-01-2422
Engineering design-decisions often involve many attributes which can differ in the levels of their importance to the decision maker (DM), while also exhibiting complex statistical relationships. Learning a decision-making policy which accurately represents the DM’s actions has long been the goal of decision analysts. To circumvent elicitation and modeling issues, this process is often oversimplified in how many factors are considered and how complicated the relationships considered between them are. Without these simplifications, the classical lottery-based preference elicitation is overly expensive, and the responses degrade rapidly in quality as the number of attributes increase. In this paper, we investigate the ability of deep preference machine learning to model high-dimensional decision-making policies utilizing rankings elicited from decision makers.
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