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This paper examines, for several major markets, the fuel savings achievable with advanced engine technologies as “drop-in” substitutions for existing engines, as well as from increased electric hybridization of the powertrain. Key segments of light duty vehicles in major automotive markets including the US, China, EU, Japan, India, and Saudi Arabia were examined. Representative vehicles for each market were simulated using advanced vehicle modeling tools and evaluated on the relevant local regulatory cycle or cycles. In all cases, to ensure meaningful results, the performance of a given vehicle was maintained as engine and powertrain technology was varied through appropriate resizing of powertrain components. In total, 4 engine technologies and 5 powertrain architectures were simulated for 5 different markets.

Hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) have seen tremendous improvements in performance, fuel economy and cost over the last two decades. As battery and motor prices decrease, HEVs are likely to be even more attractive to consumers. This study considers how HEVs can improve and whether advancements in engines and other components will play a large role in the HEV segment. Past studies have relied on a rule-based component sizing approach for hybrids to meet certain performance criteria. By going beyond this approach, we can explore the design space by varying engine power and electric drivetrain power. This can provide more insights into the fuel-saving potential of HEVs, and the trade-offs required on performance or cost characteristics to achieve those savings. In this study, we examine the fuel-saving potential of three main hybrid powertrain architectures (parallel, series, and power-split) with varying degrees of hybridization (DOH) and using various engine technologies.