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Some of the common methods of reliability prediction utilizing calendar or lot size dependence and various "k" factors for complexity, end use, product family, and environment are briefly reviewed. These techniques, although sometimes accurate and simple, do not provide adequate reliability tradeoff information and do not fully treat the effects of vendor variability and improvements in the state-of-the-art. From these techniques it is frequently difficult to understand causes of observed failure rates and to determine what can be done to achieve cost-effective reliability. One method of alleviating these objections is to derive a model based on microcircuit failure mode and mechanism knowledge. The current status of microcircuit failure knowledge is reviewed. Considerable use is made of data which has been acquired at very high stress levels and the relationship between this data and end use data is discussed.

Flight in icing for transport category aircraft certification presents a particularly challenging set of considerations to establish adequate safety commensurate with the associated risk while balancing design complexity and efficiency. A review highlighting important aspects of the regulatory evolution and guiding principles for flight in icing certification is presented, including the current standards and recent rulemaking activity.