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The term “3 inch ice shapes” has assumed numerous definitions throughout the years. At times it has been used to generally characterize large glaze ice accretions on the major aerodynamic surfaces (wing, horizontal stabilizer, vertical stabilizer) for evaluating aerodynamic performance and handling qualities after a prolonged icing encounter. It has also been used as a more direct criterion while determining or enforcing sectional ice shape characteristics such as the maximum pinnacle height. It is the authors’ observation that over the years, the interpretation and application of this term has evolved and is now broadly misunderstood. Compounding the situation is, at present, a seemingly contradictory set of guidance among (and even within) the various international regulatory agencies resulting in an ambiguous set of expectations for design and certification specialists.

Determining local ice crystal icing concentration factors in the region of the forward fuselage is critical for setting the Total Water Content levels for air data probe qualification testing. Simulation, modeling, and testing techniques for this concentration-factor phenomenon are still in their infancy, and there is currently not a significant amount of this type of analysis in the literature. A representative, 3D analysis was conducted using transport airplane geometry and flight conditions that explored the sensitivities resulting from parametric changes to flight and ice crystal icing conditions, particle modeling parameters, and bouncing effects.