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Journal Article

Vehicle Trajectory Prediction Based on Motion Model and Maneuver Model Fusion with Interactive Multiple Models

2020-04-14
2020-01-0112
Safety is the cornerstone for Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) and Autonomous Driving Systems (ADS). To assess the safety of a traffic situation, it is essential to predict motion states of traffic participants in the future with mathematic models. Accurate vehicle trajectory prediction is an important prerequisite for reasonable traffic situation risk assessment and appropriate decision making. Vehicle trajectory prediction methods can be generally divided into motion model based methods and maneuver model based methods. Vehicle trajectory prediction based on motion models can be accurate and reliable only in the short term. While vehicle trajectory prediction based on maneuver models present more satisfactory performance in the long term, these maneuver models rely on machine learning methods. Abundant data should be collected to train the maneuver recognition model, which increases complexity and lowers real-time performance.
Technical Paper

Probabilistic Vehicle Trajectory Prediction Based on LSTM Encoder-Decoder and Attention Mechanism

2022-12-22
2022-01-7106
In order to realize driving safety in highway scenarios, autonomous vehicles need to predict and reason about the driving intentions and motion trajectories of surrounding target vehicles in the near feature. Essentially, trajectory prediction of target vehicles can be viewed as a typical time series generation problem, which predicts the future trajectory of the vehicle through analyzing the input of historical trajectory information or its control signals. In actual traffic scenarios, the movement between vehicles is a process of mutual game and cooperation, namely the future trajectory of a vehicle is not only related to its own historical trajectory, but also to surrounding vehicles motion. However, different surrounding traffic participants have different influence on the target vehicle, and the future motion of the vehicle is often affected by some specific surrounding traffic agents deeply.
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