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Warranty forecasting of repairable systems is very important for manufacturers of mass produced systems. It is desired to predict the Expected Number of Failures (ENF) after a censoring time using collected failure data before the censoring time. Moreover, systems may be produced with a defective component resulting in extensive warranty costs even after the defective component is detected and replaced with a new design. In this paper, we present a forecasting method to predict the ENF of a repairable system using observed data which is used to calibrate a Generalized Renewal Processes (GRP) model. Manufacturing of products may exhibit different production patterns with different failure statistics through time. For example, vehicles produced in different months may have different failure intensities because of supply chain differences or different skills of production workers, for example.

A variety of structures resonate when they are excited by external forces at, or near, their natural frequencies. This can lead to high deformation which may cause damage to the integrity of the structure. There have been many applications of external devices to dampen the effects of this excitation, such as tuned mass dampers or both semi-active and active dampers, which have been implemented in buildings, bridges, and other large structures. One of the active cancellation methods uses centrifugal forces generated by the rotation of an unbalanced mass. These forces help to counter the external excitation force coming into the structure. This research focuses on active force cancellation using centrifugal forces (CFG) due to mass imbalance and provides a virtual solution to simulate and predict the forces required to cancel external excitation to an automotive structure. This research tries to address the challenges to miniaturize the CFG model for a body-on-frame truck.

For the designing of world class vehicles, ride comfort is one of the criteria that vehicle manufacturers are constantly trying to improve. The automotive seating system is an important sub-system in a vehicle that contributes to the ride comfort of the vehicle occupants. Seat vibrations are perceived by the occupants and make them feel uncomfortable during driving conditions. These vibrations are majorly transferred from engine and road excitation loads. For road excitation loads, the road testing may not be accurately repeatable, and measurements based on four post shakers are used to assess the discomfort. The major challenges for the vehicle manufactures is the availability of physical prototypes at an early stage of vehicle development and any changes in the design due to test validation leads to huge cost and time.

Vibration shaker testing is a great tool of validating the vibration fatigue performance of automotive components & systems. However, the representative vibration schedule requires a pre-knowledge of the acceleration history for the test object, which usually is not available until the later development phase of a vehicle program when physical properties are available. Sometimes, a generic vibration schedule developed from the worst-case loading profiles are used with risk of lacking correlation with later full vehicle durability test such as Road Test Simulator (RTS) or Proving Ground (PG) road test due to the higher loading amplitude. This paper proposes a virtual accelerometer approach to collect acceleration responses of a component from a virtual vehicle model. First, a multiple body dynamic model will be produced for virtual load calculation over a series of digitalized virtual proving ground road profiles.

As the move to decrease physical prototyping increases the need to virtually prototype vehicles become more critical. Assessing NVH vehicle targets and making critical component level decisions is becoming a larger part of the NVH engineer’s job. To make decisions earlier in the process when prototypes are not available companies need to leverage more both their historical and simulation results. Today this is possible by utilizing a hybrid modelling approach in an NVH Simulator using measured on road, CAE, and test bench data. By starting with measured on road data from a previous generation or comparable vehicle, engineers can build virtual prototypes by using a hybrid modeling approach incorporating CAE and/or test bench data to create the desired NVH characteristics. This enables the creation of a virtual drivable model to assess subjectively the vehicles acoustic targets virtually before a prototype vehicle is available.

Cost benefit and teraflop restrictions imposed by racing sanctioning bodies make steady-state RANS CFD simulation a widely accepted first approximation tool for aerodynamics evaluations in motorsports, in spite of its limitations. Research involving generic and simplified vehicle bodies has shown that the veracity of aerodynamic CFD predictions strongly depends on the turbulence model being used. Also, the ability of a turbulence model to accurately predict aerodynamic characteristics can be vehicle shape dependent as well. Modifications to the turbulence model coefficients in some of the models have the potential to improve the predictive capability for a particular vehicle shape. This paper presents a systematic study of turbulence modeling effects on the prediction of aerodynamic characteristics of a NASCAR Gen-6 Cup racecar. Steady-state RANS simulations are completed using a commercial CFD package, STAR-CCM+, from CD-Adapco.

In response to demands for higher fuel economy and stringent emission regulations, OEMs always strive hard to improve component/system efficiency and minimize losses. In the driveline system, improving the efficiency of an automotive rear-axle is critical because it is one of the major power-loss contributor. Optimum oil-fill inside an axle is one of the feasible solutions to minimize spin losses, while ensuring lubrication performance and heat-dissipation requirements. Thus, prior to conducting vehicle development tests, several dyno-level tests are conducted to study the thermal behavior of axle-oil (optimum level) under severe operating conditions. These test conditions represent the axle operation in hot weather conditions, steep grade, maximum tow capacity, etc. It is important to ensure that oil does not exceed its thermal limits (disintegration of oil leading to degradation).

The advanced Optimization techniques help us in exploring the light weight architecture. This paper explains the process of designing a lightweight track bar bracket, which satisfies all durability performance targets. The mounting locations and load paths are critical factors that define the performance and help in the development of weight efficient structure. The process is to identify the appropriate bolt location through Design of Experiment (DOE) and topology based studies; followed by section and shape optimization that help to distribute material in a weight efficient manner across the structure. Load path study using topology optimization is performed to identify the load path for durability load cases. Further shape optimization is done using hyper study to determine the exact thickness of the webs and ribs. A significant weight reduction from the baseline structure is observed. This process may be applicable for all casting components.

In current scenario, there is an increasing need to have faster product development and achieve the optimum design quickly. In an automobile air conditioning system, the main function of HVAC third row floor duct is to get the sufficient airflow from the rear heating ventilating and air-conditioning (HVAC) system and to provide the sufficient airflow within the leg locations of passenger. Apart from airflow and temperature, fatigue strength of the duct is one of the important factors that need to be considered while designing and optimizing the duct. The challenging task is to package the duct below the carpet within the constrained space and the duct should withstand the load applied by the passenger leg and the luggage. Finite element analysis (FEA) has been used extensively to validate the stress and deformation of the duct under different loading conditions applied over the duct system.

Cooling airflow is an essential factor when it comes to vehicle performance and operating safety. In recent years, significant efforts have been made to maximize the flow efficiency through the heat exchangers in the under-hood compartment. Grille shutters, new fan shapes, better sealings are only some examples of innovations in this field of work. Underhood cooling airflow simulations are an integral part of the vehicle development process. Especially in the early development phase, where no test data is available to verify the cooling performance of the vehicle, computational fluid dynamics simulations (CFD) can be a valuable tool to identify the lack of fan performance and to develop the appropriate strategy to achieve airflow goals through the heat exchangers. For vehicles with heat exchangers in the underhood section the airflow through those components is of particular interest.

Determining coolant flow distribution in a topologically complex flow path for efficient heat rejection from the critical regions of the engine is a challenge. However, with the established computational methodology, thermal response of an engine (via conjugate heat transfer) can be accurately predicted [1, 2] and improved upon via Design of Experiment (DOE) study in a relatively short timeframe. This paper describes a method to effectively distribute the coolant flow in the engine coolant cavities and evenly remove the heat from various components using a novel technique of optimization based on an approximation model. The current methodology involves the usage of a sampling technique to screen the design space and generate the simulation matrix. Isight, a process automation and design exploration software, is used to set the framework of this study with the engine thermal simulation setup done in the CFD solver, STAR-CCM+.

The purpose of this paper is to provide a comparison of multiaxial fatigue limit models and their correlation to experimental data. This paper investigates equivalent stress, critical plane and invariant-based multiaxial fatigue models. Several methods are investigated and compared based on ability to predict multiaxial fatigue limits from data published in literature. The equivalent stress based model developed by Lee, Tjhung and Jordan (LTJ), provides very accurate predictions of the fatigue limit under multiaxial loading due to its ability to account for non-proportional loading. This accuracy comes from the model constant which is calculated based on multiaxial fatigue data. This is the only model investigated that requires multiaxial fatigue testing to generate the model parameters. All other models rely on uniaxial test results.

Several popular frequency-based fatigue damage models (Wirsching and Light, Ortiz and Chen, Larsen and Lutes, Benascuitti and Tovo, Benascuitti and Tovo with α.75, Dirlik, Zhao and Baker, and Lalanne) are reviewed and assessed. Seventy power spectrum densities with varied amplitude, shape, and irregularity factors from Dirlik’s dissertation are used to study the accuracies of these methods. Recommendations on how to set up the inverse fast Fourier transform to synthesize load data and obtain accurate rainflow cycle counts are given. Since Dirlik’s method is the most commonly used one in industry, a comprehensive investigation of parameter setups for Dirlik’s method is presented. The mean error and standard deviation of the error between the frequency-based model and the rainflow cycle counting method was computed for fatigue slope exponent m ranging from 3 to 12.

Accurate prediction of in-vehicle powertrain bounce mode is necessary to ensure optimum responses are achieved at driver’s touch points during 4post shake or rough road shake events. But, during the early stages of vehicle development, building a detailed vehicle finite element (FE) model is not possible and often powertrain bounce modes are computed assuming the powertrain to be a stand-alone unit. Studies conducted on FE models of a large SUV with body on frame architecture showed that the stand-alone approach overestimates the powertrain bounce mode. Consequently, there is a need for a simplified version of vehicle model which can be built early on to compute powertrain modes. Previously, representing all the major components as rigid entities, simplified unibody vehicle models have been built to compute powertrain modes. But such an approach would be inaccurate here, for a vehicle with body on frame architecture due to the flexible nature of the frame (even at low frequencies).

An objective evaluation of ground vehicle performance is a challenging task. This is further exacerbated by the increasing level of autonomy, dynamically changing the roles and capabilities of these vehicles. In the context of decision making involving these vehicles, as the capabilities of the vehicles improve, there is a concurrent change in the preferences of the decision makers operating the vehicles that must be accounted for. Decision based methods are a natural choice when multiple conflicting attributes are present, however, most of the literature focuses on static preferences. In this paper, we provide a sequential Bayesian framework to accommodate time varying preferences. The utility function is considered a stochastic function with the shape parameters themselves being random variables. In the proposed approach, initially the shape parameters model either uncertain preferences or variation in the preferences because of the presence of multiple decision makers.

Paper withdrawn by author.

Threaded fasteners or bolted joints are used extensively in automotive assemblies. There are standard procedures to evaluate joint performance under block cycles or road loads. The deciding load case for such joint design is slippage analysis of the joint. There are studies done to evaluate the theoretical and experimental behavior of these joints. There are different ways of understanding the interaction between the bolt and the nut under different loading scenarios. However, none have provided a satisfactory method of quantifying bolt loosening or loss of clamp load under cyclic loading, where no slippage is observed. Under varying loads, initial relaxation of the joint is followed by a loss of clamping load. Below a critical value, complete loss of clamping load progresses very rapidly and this results in a loose joint.

Given continued industry focus on reducing parasitic losses, the ability to accurately measure the magnitude of losses on all driveline components is required. A standardized test procedure enables manufacturers and suppliers to measure component losses consistently, in addition to offering a reliable process to assess enablers for efficiency improvements. This paper reviews the development of SAE draft standard J3218, which is a comprehensive test procedure to break-in and characterize the efficiency of beam axles. Focus areas of the study included ensuring the axle’s efficiency does not change as it is being characterized, building a detailed map of efficiency at a wide range of operating points, and minimizing test time. The resulting break-in procedure uses an asymptotic regression approach to predict fully broken in efficiency of the axle and determine how much the efficiency of the axle changes during the characterization phase.

There is an increasing demand for reducing vehicle development process and minimizing cost due to tough competition in Automotive market. One of the major focus areas is minimizing the vehicle proto build that are required for physical testing during vehicle development. Tow hooks are key structural components for the vehicle, which are designed to withstand structural strength performance under various vehicles towing condition. Typical extreme load scenario for the vehicle can be towing fully loaded vehicle breaks down on uphill road or stuck in wet muddy condition. To exercise the tow hook structural development in early design phase, it is important to have reliable simulation process. This paper focuses on development of virtual test simulation process that replicates the tow hook system test behavior for the operating load. The study includes the detail modeling of clevis load applicator, tow hook, bolt joint and attached test bed plate for capturing the load path.

Euro NCAP Pedestrian head impact protocol mandates the reduction of head injuries, measured using head injury criteria (HIC). Virtual tools driven design comprises of simulating the impact on the hood and post processing the results. Due to the high number of impact points, engineers spend a significant portion of their time in manual data management, processing, visualization and score calculation. Moreover, due to large volume of data transfer from these simulations, engineers face data bandwidth issues particularly when the data is in different geographical locations. This deters the focus of the engineer from engineering and also delays the product development process. This paper describes the development of an automated method using d3VIEW that significantly improves the efficiency and eliminates the data volume difficulties there by reducing the product development time while providing a higher level of simulation results visualization.