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This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of emerging powertrain technologies for a wide spectrum of vehicles, ranging from light-duty passenger vehicles to medium and heavy-duty trucks. The study focuses on the anticipated evolution of these technologies over the coming decades, assessing their potential benefits and impact on sustainability. The analysis encompasses simulations across a wide range of vehicle classes, including compact, midsize, small SUVs, midsize SUVs, and pickups, as well as various truck types, such as class 4 step vans, class 6 box trucks, and class 8 regional and long-haul trucks. It evaluates key performance metrics, including fuel consumption, estimated purchase price, and total cost of ownership, for these vehicles equipped with advanced powertrain technologies such as mild hybrid, full hybrid, plug-in hybrid, battery electric, and fuel cell powertrains.

This work represents an advanced engineering research project partially funded by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). Ford Motor Company, FEV North America, and Oak Ridge National Laboratory collaborated to develop a next generation boosted spark ignited engine concept. The project goals, specified by the DOE, were 23% improved fuel economy and 15% reduced weight relative to a 2015 or newer light-duty vehicle. The fuel economy goal was achieved by designing an engine incorporating high geometric compression ratio, high dilution tolerance, low pumping work, and low friction. The increased tendency for knock with high compression ratio was addressed using early intake valve closing (EIVC), cooled exhaust gas recirculation (EGR), an active pre-chamber ignition system, and careful management of the fresh charge temperature.

The rise of greenhouse gas emissions has reached historic levels, with 37 billion tons of CO2 released into the atmosphere in 2018 alone. In the European Union, 32% of these emissions come from transportation, with 73.3% of that percentage coming from vehicles. To address this problem, solutions such as cleaner fuels and more efficient engines are necessary. Artificial Intelligence can also play a crucial role in climate analysis and verification to move towards a more sustainable future. By utilizing connected vehicle data, automakers can analyze real-time vehicle performance data to identify opportunities for improvement and reduce carbon emissions. This approach benefits the environment, improves vehicle quality, and reduces engineering work time, making it a win-win solution. Connected vehicle data offers a wealth of information on vehicle performance, such as fuel consumption and carbon emissions.

The autoignition chemistry of fuels depends on the pressure, temperature, and time history that the fuel-air mixture experiences during the compression stroke. While piezoelectric pressure transducers offer excellent means of pressure measurement, temperature measurements are not commonly available and must be estimated. Even if the pressure and temperature at the intake and exhaust ports are measured, the residual gas fraction (RGF) within the combustion chamber requires estimation and greatly impacts the temperature of the fresh charge at intake valve closing. This work replaced the standard D1 Detonation Pickup of a CFR engine with a rapid sampling valve to allow for in-cylinder gas sampling at defined crank-angle times during the compression stroke. The extracted cylinder contents were captured in an emissions sample bag and its composition was subsequently analyzed in an AVL i60 emissions bench.

This is an extension of simple fuel consumption modeling toward HEV. Previous work showed that in urban driving the overhead of running an ICEV engine can use as much fuel as the traction work. The bidirectional character and high efficiency of electric motors enables HEVs to run as a BEV at negative and low traction powers, with no net input from the small battery. The ICE provides the net work at higher traction powers where it is most efficient. Whereas the network reduction is the total negative work times the system round-trip efficiency, the reduction in engine running time requires knowledge of the distribution of traction power levels. The traction power histogram, and the work histogram derived from it, provide the required drive cycle description. The traction power is normalized by vehicle mass, so that the drive trace component becomes invariant, and the road load component nearly invariant to vehicle mass.

This paper, written in collaboration with Ford, evaluates the effectiveness of higher cell density combined with higher porosity, lower thermal mass substrates for emission control capability on a customized, RDE (Real Driving Emissions)-type of test cycle run on a chassis dynamometer using a gasoline passenger car fitted with a three-way catalyst (TWC) system. Cold-start emissions contribute most of the emissions control challenge, especially in the case of a very rigorous cold-start. The majority of tailpipe emissions occur during the first 30 seconds of the drive cycle. For the early engine startup phase, higher porosity substrates are developed as one part of the solution. In addition, further emission improvement is expected by increasing the specific surface area (GSA) of the substrate. This test was designed specifically to stress the cold start performance of the catalyst by using a short, 5 second idle time preceding an aggressive, high exhaust mass flowrate drive cycle.

Several factors stimulate the development of new materials in the industry. From specific physical-chemical characteristics to strategic market advantages, technology companies seek to diversify their raw materials. In the automotive sector, the current trend of electrification in vehicles and the increase of government and market demand for reducing the emission of greenhouse gases makes lighter materials more and more necessary. As electric vehicles use heavy batteries, the vehicle weight is directly related to its power demand and level of autonomy. The same applies to internal combustion vehicles where the vehicle weight directly impacts fuel consumption and emissions. In this context, there is a lot of research on special alloys and composites to replace traditional materials. Aluminum is a good alternative to steel due to its density which is almost five times smaller while that material still has good mechanical properties and has better impact absorption capability.

This study investigated the potential of generating reactive chemical species (including radicals) through pilot fuel injection in negative valve overlap for improving the combustion and emissions performances of spark ignition gasoline engines under low load and low speed operating conditions. Several Ford sub-models were used for simulating the physics and chemistry processes of injecting a small amount of fuel in NVO (negative valve overlap). Effects of different NVO degrees and different pilot injection timings, factors for fuel conversion were simulated and investigated. CO and H2 conversions during NVO, CO and H2 amounts before spark timing were used for comparing different schemes.

Gasoline compression ignition using a single gasoline-type fuel has been shown as a method to achieve low-temperature combustion with low engine-out NOx and soot emissions and high indicated thermal efficiency. However, key technical barriers to achieving low temperature combustion on multi-cylinder engines include the air handling system (limited amount of exhaust gas recirculation) as well as mechanical engine limitations (e.g. peak pressure rise rate). In light of these limitations, high temperature combustion with reduced amounts of exhaust gas recirculation appears more practical. Furthermore, for high temperature Gasoline compression ignition, an effective aftertreatment system allows high thermal efficiency with low tailpipe-out emissions. In this work, experimental testing was conducted on a 12.4 L multi-cylinder heavy-duty diesel engine operating with high temperature gasoline compression ignition combustion using EEE gasoline.

In order to decarbonize and lower the overall emissions of the transport sector, immediate and cost-effective powertrain solutions are needed. Natural gas offers the advantage of a direct reduction of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions due to its better Carbon to Hydrogen ratio (C/H) compared to common fossil fuels, e.g. gasoline or diesel. Moreover, an optimized engine design suiting the advantages of natural gas in knock resistance and lean mixtures keeping in mind the challenges of power density, efficiency and cold start manoeuvres. In the public funded project MethMag (Methane lean combustion engine) a gasoline fired three-cylinder-engine is redesigned based on this change of requirements and benchmarked against the previous gasoline engine.

Diesel engines are one of the most popular combustion systems used in different types of heavy-duty applications because of higher efficiencies compared to the spark ignition engines. Combustion phasing and the rate of heat release in diesel engines are controlled by the rate at which the fuel is injected into the combustion chamber near top dead center. In this work, computational fluid dynamics (CFD) was employed to simulate the combustion behavior of a heavy-duty diesel engine equipped with a 16-hole injector, in which the nozzles were arranged in two individual rows. The two rows of nozzles have differential flow rate due to the geometrical construction of the injector. Combustion and performance characteristics of the engine were compared with and without considering the differential flow rate of the nozzle rows at a range of injection timing values.

The previously developed power-based fuel consumption theory for Internal Combustion Engine Vehicles (ICEV) is extended to Battery Electric Vehicles (BEV). The main difference between the BEV model structure and the ICEV is the bi-directional character of traction motors and batteries. A traction motor model was developed as a bi-linear function of positive and negative traction power. Another difference is that the accessories and cabin heating are powered directly from the battery, and not from the powertrain. The resulting unified model for ICEV and BEV energy consumption has linear terms proportional to positive and negative traction power, accessory power, and overhead, in varying proportions. Compared to the ICEV, the BEV powertrain has a high marginal efficiency and low overhead. As a result, BEV energy consumption data under a wide range of driving conditions are mainly proportional to net traction power, with only a small offset.

This paper analyzes the use of an ammonia sensor for feedback control in diesel exhaust systems. We build our case around the specific example of the heavy duty transient cycle, and an exhaust system with an SCR catalyst, a single urea injector and an upstream and downstream NOx sensor. A key component in our analysis is the inclusion of the tolerance of the ammonia sensor. We show that with the current understanding of the sensor tolerance, the ammonia sensor has limited benefit for controls.

Historical driver behavior and drive style are crucial inputs in addition to V2X connectivity data to predict future events as well as fuel consumption of the vehicle on a trip. A trip is a combination of different maneuvers a driver executes to navigate a route and interact with his/her environment including traffic, geography, topography, and weather. This study leverages big data analytics on real-world customer driving data to develop analytical modeling methodologies and algorithms to extract maneuver-based driving characteristics and generate a corresponding maneuver distribution. The distributions are further segmented by additional categories such as customer group and type of vehicle. These maneuver distributions are used to build an aggressivity distribution database which will serve as the parameter basis for further analysis with traffic simulation models.

The combustion system of a heavy-duty diesel engine operated in a gasoline compression ignition mode was optimized using a CFD-based response surface methodology and a machine learning genetic algorithm. One common dataset obtained from a CFD design of experiment campaign was used to construct response surfaces and train machine learning models. 128 designs were included in the campaign and were evaluated across three engine load conditions using the CONVERGE CFD solver. The design variables included piston bowl geometry, injector specifications, and swirl ratio, and the objective variables were fuel consumption, criteria emissions, and mechanical design constraints. In this study, the two approaches were extensively investigated and applied to a common dataset. The response surface-based approach utilized a combination of three modeling techniques to construct response surfaces to enhance the performance of predictions.

Fuel power consumption for light duty vehicles has previously been shown to be proportional to vehicle traction power, with an offset for overhead and accessory losses. This allows the fuel consumption for an individual powertrain to be projected across different vehicles, missions, and drive cycles. This work applies the power-based model to commercial vehicles and demonstrates its usefulness for projecting fuel consumption on both regulatory and customer use cycles. The ability to project fuel consumption to different missions is particularly useful for commercial vehicles, as they are used in a wide range of applications and with customized designs. Specific cases are investigated for Light and Medium Heavy- Duty work trucks. The average power required by a vehicle to drive the regulatory cycles varies by nearly a factor 10 between the Class 4 vehicle on the ARB Transient cycle and the loaded Class 7 vehicle at 65 mph on grade.

The objective of this study was to evaluate the fuel saving potential of various hybrid powertrain architectures for medium and heavy duty vehicles. The relative benefit of each powertrain was analyzed, and the observed fuel savings was explained in terms of operational efficiency gains, regenerative braking benefits from powertrain electrification and differences in vehicle curb weight. Vehicles designed for various purposes, namely urban delivery, utility, transit, refuse, drayage, regional and long haul were included in this work. Fuel consumption was measured in regulatory cycles and various real world representative cycles. A diesel-powered conventional powertrain variant was first developed for each case, based on vehicle technical specifications for each type of truck. Autonomie, a simulation tool developed by Argonne National Laboratory, was used for carrying out the vehicle modeling, sizing and fuel economy evaluation.

Connected vehicles (CVs) have situational awareness that can be exploited for control and optimization of the powertrain system. While extensive studies have been carried out for energy efficiency improvement of CVs via eco-driving and planning, the implication of such technologies on the thermal responses of CVs (including those of the engine and aftertreatment systems) has not been fully investigated. One of the key challenges in leveraging connectivity for optimization-based thermal management of CVs is the relatively slow thermal dynamics, which necessitate the use of a long prediction horizon to achieve the best performance. Long-term prediction of the CV speed, unlike the short-range prediction based on vehicle-to-infrastructure (V2I) and vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) communications-based information, is difficult and error-prone.

“Real world emissions” is an emerging area of focus in motor vehicle related air quality. These emissions are commonly recorded using portable emissions measurement systems (PEMS) designed for regulatory application, which are large, complex and costly. Miniature PEMS (mPEMS) is a developing technology that can significantly simplify on-board emissions measurement and potentially promote widespread use. Whereas full PEMS use analyzers to record NOx, CO, and HCs similar to those in emissions laboratories, mPEMS tend to use electrochemical sensors and compact optical detectors for their small size and low cost. The present work provides a comprehensive evaluation of this approach. It compares measurements of NOx, CO, CO2 and HC emissions from five commercial mPEMS to both laboratory and full regulatory PEMS analyzers. It further examines the use of vehicle on-board diagnostics data to calculate exhaust flow, as an alternative to on-vehicle exhaust flow measurement.

The peak efficiency of modern spark ignited engines varies from 36% to 40% depending on the exact technology utilized. Most engines can achieve this peak efficiency for a limited operating region. Multi-speed transmissions allow the engine to operate closer to its most efficient operating regions for more significant portions of operation. In the case of hybrid powertrains, electric machines help in improving engine efficiency by adjusting operating speed and load. Engine shutdown during idle events and low loads is another avenue for improving the overall efficiency. The choice of the ideal powertrain and component sizes depends on the engine characteristics, drive cycles and vehicle technical requirements. This study examines what type of powertrains will be suitable for more efficient engines that are likely to be available in the near future. Some of the new technologies achieve higher efficiency with a trade off on power or by accepting a more restrictive operating region.