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Technical Paper

Analyzing the Expense: Cost Modeling for State-of-the-Art Electric Vehicle Battery Packs

2024-04-09
2024-01-2202
The Battery Performance and Cost Model (BatPaC), developed by Argonne National Laboratory, is a versatile tool designed for lithium-ion battery (LIB) pack engineering. It accommodates user-defined specifications, generating detailed bill-of-materials calculations and insights into cell dimensions and pack characteristics. Pre-loaded with default data sets, BatPaC aids in estimating production costs for battery packs produced at scale (5 to 50 GWh annually). Acknowledging inherent uncertainties in parameters, the tool remains accessible and valuable for designers and engineers. BatPaC plays a crucial role in National Highway Transportation Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) regulatory assessments, providing estimated battery pack manufacturing costs and weight metrics for electric vehicles. Integrated with Argonne's Autonomie simulations, BatPaC streamlines large-scale processes, replacing traditional models with lookup tables.
Technical Paper

Component Sizing Optimization Based on Technological Assumptions for Medium-Duty Electric Vehicles

2024-04-09
2024-01-2450
In response to the stipulations of the Energy Policy and Conservation Act and the global momentum toward carbon mitigation, there has been a pronounced tightening of fuel economy standards for manufacturers. This stricter regulation is coupled with an accelerated transition to electric vehicles, catalyzed by advances in electrification technology and a decline in battery cost. Improvements in the fuel economy of medium- and heavy-duty vehicles through electrification are particularly noteworthy. Estimating the magnitude of fuel economy improvements that result from technological advances in these vehicles is key to effective policymaking. In this research, we generated vehicle models based on assumptions regarding advanced transportation component technologies and powertrains to estimate potential vehicle-level fuel savings. We also developed a systematic approach to evaluating a vehicle’s fuel economy by calibrating the size of the components to satisfy performance requirements.
Technical Paper

Impact of Advanced Technologies on Energy Consumption of Advanced Electrified Medium-Duty Vehicles

2024-04-09
2024-01-2453
The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) has been leading U.S. efforts related to the rulemaking process for Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards. Argonne National Laboratory, a U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) national laboratory, has developed a full-vehicle simulation tool called Autonomie that has become one of the industry standard tools for analyzing vehicle performance, energy consumption, and technology effectiveness. Through an Interagency Agreement, the DOE Argonne Site Office and Argonne National Laboratory have been tasked with conducting full vehicle simulation to support NHTSA CAFE rulemaking. This paper presents an innovative approach focused on large-scale simulation processes spanning standard regulatory driving cycles, diverse vehicle classes, and various timeframes. A key element of this approach is Autonomie’s capacity to integrate advanced engine technologies tailored to specific vehicle classes and powertrains.
Technical Paper

Powering Tomorrow's Light, Medium, and Heavy-Duty Vehicles: A Comprehensive Techno-Economic Examination of Emerging Powertrain Technologies

2024-04-09
2024-01-2446
This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of emerging powertrain technologies for a wide spectrum of vehicles, ranging from light-duty passenger vehicles to medium and heavy-duty trucks. The study focuses on the anticipated evolution of these technologies over the coming decades, assessing their potential benefits and impact on sustainability. The analysis encompasses simulations across a wide range of vehicle classes, including compact, midsize, small SUVs, midsize SUVs, and pickups, as well as various truck types, such as class 4 step vans, class 6 box trucks, and class 8 regional and long-haul trucks. It evaluates key performance metrics, including fuel consumption, estimated purchase price, and total cost of ownership, for these vehicles equipped with advanced powertrain technologies such as mild hybrid, full hybrid, plug-in hybrid, battery electric, and fuel cell powertrains.
Technical Paper

Transmission Shifting Analysis and Model Validation for Medium Duty Vehicles

2023-04-11
2023-01-0196
Over the past couple of years, Argonne National Laboratory has tested, analyzed, and validated automobile models for the light duty vehicle class, including several types of powertrains including conventional, hybrid electric, plug-in hybrid electric and battery electric vehicles. Argonne’s previous works focused on the light duty vehicle models, but no work has been done on medium and heavy-duty vehicles. This study focuses on the validation of shifting control in advanced automatic transmission technologies for medium duty vehicles by using Argonne’s model-based high-fidelity, forward-looking, vehicle simulation tool, Autonomie. Different medium duty vehicles, from Argonne’s own fleet, including the Ram 2500, Ford F-250 and Ford F-350, were tested with the equipment for OBD (on-board diagnostics) signal data record. For the medium duty vehicles, a workflow process was used to import test data.
Technical Paper

Trade-Offs and Opportunities to Improve Hybrid Vehicle Performance, Cost and Fuel Economy through Better Component Technology and Sizing

2023-04-11
2023-01-0477
Hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) have seen tremendous improvements in performance, fuel economy and cost over the last two decades. As battery and motor prices decrease, HEVs are likely to be even more attractive to consumers. This study considers how HEVs can improve and whether advancements in engines and other components will play a large role in the HEV segment. Past studies have relied on a rule-based component sizing approach for hybrids to meet certain performance criteria. By going beyond this approach, we can explore the design space by varying engine power and electric drivetrain power. This can provide more insights into the fuel-saving potential of HEVs, and the trade-offs required on performance or cost characteristics to achieve those savings. In this study, we examine the fuel-saving potential of three main hybrid powertrain architectures (parallel, series, and power-split) with varying degrees of hybridization (DOH) and using various engine technologies.
Technical Paper

Evaluating Class 6 Delivery Truck Fuel Economy and Emissions Using Vehicle System Simulations for Conventional and Hybrid Powertrains and Co-Optima Fuel Blends

2022-09-13
2022-01-1156
The US Department of Energy’s Co-Optimization of Engine and Fuels Initiative (Co-Optima) investigated how unique properties of bio-blendstocks considered within Co-Optima help address emissions challenges with mixing controlled compression ignition (i.e., conventional diesel combustion) and enable advanced compression ignition modes suitable for implementation in a diesel engine. Additionally, the potential synergies of these Co-Optima technologies in hybrid vehicle applications in the medium- and heavy-duty sector was also investigated. In this work, vehicles system were simulated using the Autonomie software tool for quantifying the benefits of Co-Optima engine technologies for medium-duty trucks. A Class 6 delivery truck with a 6.7 L diesel engine was used for simulations over representative real-world and certification drive cycles with four different powertrains to investigate fuel economy, criteria emissions, and performance.
Technical Paper

Design of a Rule-Based Controller and Parameter Optimization Using a Genetic Algorithm for a Dual-Motor Heavy-Duty Battery Electric Vehicle

2022-03-29
2022-01-0413
This paper describes a configuration and controller, designed using Autonomie,1 for dual-motor battery electric vehicle (BEV) heavy-duty trucks. Based on the literature and current market research, this model was designed with two electric motors, one on the front axle and the other on the rear axle. A rule-based control algorithm was designed for the new dual-motor BEV, based on the model, and the control parameters were optimized by using a genetic algorithm (GA). The model was simulated in diverse driving cycles and gradeability tests. The results show both a good following of the desired cycle and achievement of truck gradeability performance requirements. The simulation results were compared with those of a single-motor BEV and showed reduced energy consumption with the high-efficiency operation of the two motors.
Technical Paper

Medium- and Heavy-Duty Value of Technology Improvement

2022-03-29
2022-01-0529
Improvements in vehicle technology impact the purchase price of a vehicle and its operating cost. In this study, the monetary benefit of a technology improvement includes the potential reduction in vehicle price from using cheaper or smaller components, as well as the discounted value of the fuel cost savings. As technology progresses over time, the value and benefit of improving technology varies as well. In this study, the value of improving a few selected technologies (battery energy density, electric drive efficiency, tire rolling resistance, aerodynamics, light weighting) is studied and the value of the associated cost saving is quantified. The change in saving as a function of time, powertrain selection and vehicle type is also quantified. For example, a 10% reduction in aerodynamic losses is worth $24,222 today but only $8,810 in 2030 in an electric long haul truck. The decrease in value is primarily due to expected battery cost reduction over time.
Technical Paper

Opportunities for Medium and Heavy Duty Vehicle Fuel Economy Improvements through Hybridization

2021-04-06
2021-01-0717
The objective of this study was to evaluate the fuel saving potential of various hybrid powertrain architectures for medium and heavy duty vehicles. The relative benefit of each powertrain was analyzed, and the observed fuel savings was explained in terms of operational efficiency gains, regenerative braking benefits from powertrain electrification and differences in vehicle curb weight. Vehicles designed for various purposes, namely urban delivery, utility, transit, refuse, drayage, regional and long haul were included in this work. Fuel consumption was measured in regulatory cycles and various real world representative cycles. A diesel-powered conventional powertrain variant was first developed for each case, based on vehicle technical specifications for each type of truck. Autonomie, a simulation tool developed by Argonne National Laboratory, was used for carrying out the vehicle modeling, sizing and fuel economy evaluation.
Journal Article

Forecasting Short to Mid-Length Speed Trajectories of Preceding Vehicle Using V2X Connectivity for Eco-Driving of Electric Vehicles

2021-04-06
2021-01-0431
In recent studies, optimal control has shown promise as a strategy for enhancing the energy efficiency of connected autonomous vehicles. To maximize optimization performance, it is important to accurately predict constraints, especially separation from a vehicle in front. This paper proposes a novel prediction method for forecasting the trajectory of the nearest preceding car. The proposed predictor is designed to produce short to medium-length speed trajectories using a locally weighted polynomial regression algorithm. The polynomial coefficients are trained by using two types of information: (1) vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) messages transmitted by multiple preceding vehicles and (2) vehicle-to-infrastructure (V2I) information broadcast by roadside equipment. The predictor’s performance was tested in a multi-vehicle traffic simulation platform, RoadRunner, previously developed by Argonne National Laboratory.
Technical Paper

A Real-Time Intelligent Speed Optimization Planner Using Reinforcement Learning

2021-04-06
2021-01-0434
As connectivity and sensing technologies become more mature, automated vehicles can predict future driving situations and utilize this information to drive more energy-efficiently than human-driven vehicles. However, future information beyond the limited connectivity and sensing range is difficult to predict and utilize, limiting the energy-saving potential of energy-efficient driving. Thus, we combine a conventional speed optimization planner, developed in our previous work, and reinforcement learning to propose a real-time intelligent speed optimization planner for connected and automated vehicles. We briefly summarize the conventional speed optimization planner with limited information, based on closed-form energy-optimal solutions, and present its multiple parameters that determine reference speed trajectories.
Technical Paper

Analysis and Model Validation of the Toyota Prius Prime

2019-04-02
2019-01-0369
The Toyota Prius Prime is a new generation of Toyota Prius plug-in hybrid electric vehicle, the electric drive range of which is 25 miles. This version is improved from the previous version by the addition of a one-way clutch between the engine and the planetary gear-set, which enables the generator to add electric propulsive force. The vehicle was analyzed, developed and validated based on test data from Argonne National Laboratory’s Advanced Powertrain Research Facility, where chassis dynamometer set temperature can be controlled in a thermal chamber. First, we analyzed and developed components such as engine, battery, motors, wheels and chassis, including thermal aspects based on test data. By developing models considering thermal aspects, it is possible to simulate the vehicle driving not only in normal temperatures but also in hot, cold, or warmed-up conditions.
Technical Paper

Fuel Consumption and Performance Benefits of Electrified Powertrains for Transit Buses

2018-04-03
2018-01-0321
This study presents a process to quantify the fuel saving potential of electrified powertrains for medium and heavy duty vehicles. For this study, equivalent vehicles with electrified powertrains are designed with the underlying principle of not compromising on cargo carrying capacity or performance. Several performance characteristics, that are relevant for all types of medium and heavy duty vehicles, were identified for benchmarking based on the feedback from the industry. Start-stop hybrids, parallel pre-transmission hybrids, plug-in hybrids, and battery electric vehicles are the technology choices in this study. This paper uses one vehicle as an example, explains the component sizing process followed for each powertrain, and examines each powertrain’s fuel saving potential. The process put forth in this paper can be used for evaluating vehicles that belong to all medium and heavy duty classes.
Technical Paper

Fuel Efficient Speed Optimization for Real-World Highway Cruising

2018-04-03
2018-01-0589
This paper introduces an eco-driving highway cruising algorithm based on optimal control theory that is applied to a conventionally-powered connected and automated vehicle. Thanks to connectivity to the cloud and/or to infrastructure, speed limit and slope along the future route can be known with accuracy. This can in turn be used to compute the control variable trajectory that will minimize energy consumption without significantly impacting travel time. Automated driving is necessary to the implementation of this concept, because the chosen control variables (e.g., torque and gear) impact vehicle speed. An optimal control problem is built up where quadratic models are used for the powertrain. The optimization is solved by applying Pontryagin’s minimum principle, which reduces the problem to the minimization of a cost function with parameters called co-states.
Technical Paper

Model Validation of the Chevrolet Volt 2016

2018-04-03
2018-01-0420
Validation of a vehicle simulation model of the Chevrolet Volt 2016 was conducted. The Chevrolet Volt 2016 is equipped with the new “Voltec” extended-range propulsion system introduced into the market in 2016. The second generation Volt powertrain system operates in five modes, including two electric vehicle modes and three extended-range modes. Model development and validation were conducted using the test data performed on the chassis dynamometer set in a thermal chamber of Argonne National Laboratory’s Advanced Powertrain Research Facility. First, the components of the vehicle, such as the engine, motor, battery, wheels, and chassis, were modeled, including thermal aspects based on the test data. For example, engine efficiency changes dependent on the coolant temperature, or chassis heating or air-conditioning operations according to the ambient and cabin temperature, were applied.
Technical Paper

Control Analysis and Model Validation for BMW i3 Range Extender

2017-03-28
2017-01-1152
The control analysis and model validation of a 2014 BMW i3-Range Extender (REX) was conducted based on the test data in this study. The vehicle testing was performed on a chassis dynamometer set within a thermal chamber at the Advanced Powertrain Research Facility at Argonne National Laboratory. The BMW i3-REX is a series-type plug-in hybrid range extended vehicle which consists of a 0.65L in-line 2-cylinder range-extending engine with a 26.6kW generator, 125kW permanent magnet synchronous AC motor, and 18.8kWh lithium-ion battery. Both component and vehicle model including thermal aspects, were developed based on the test data. For example, the engine fuel consumption rate, battery resistance, or cabin HVAC energy consumption are affected by the temperature. Second, the vehicle-level control strategy was analyzed at normal temperature conditions (22°C ambient temperature). The analysis focuses on the engine on/off strategy, battery SOC balancing, and engine operating conditions.
Technical Paper

Long Term Impact of Vehicle Electrification on Vehicle Weight and Cost Breakdown

2017-03-28
2017-01-1174
Today’s value proposition of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV) and battery electric vehicles (BEV) remain expensive. While the cost of lithium batteries has significantly decreased over the past few years, more improvement is necessary for PHEV and BEV to penetrate the mass market. However, the technology and cost improvements of the primary components used in electrified vehicles such as batteries, electric machines and power electronics have far exceeded the improvements in the main components used in conventional vehicles and this trend is expected to continue for the foreseeable future. Today’s weight and cost structures of electrified vehicles differ substantially from that of conventional vehicles but that difference will shrink over time. This paper highlights how the weight and cost structures, both in absolute terms and in terms of split between glider and powertrain, converge over time.
Technical Paper

Comparing the Powertrain Energy Densities of Electric and Gasoline Vehicles)

2016-04-05
2016-01-0903
The energy density and power density comparison of conventional fuels and batteries is often mentioned as an advantage of conventional vehicles over electric vehicles. Such an analysis often shows that the batteries are at least an order of magnitude behind fuels like gasoline. However this incomplete analysis ignores the impact of powertrain efficiency and mass of the powertrain itself. When we compare the potential of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) as an alternative for conventional vehicles, it is important to include the energy in the fuel and their storage as well as the eventual conversion to mechanical energy. For instance, useful work expected out of a conventional vehicle as well as a BEV is the same (to drive 300 miles with a payload of about 300 lb). However, the test weight of a Conventional vehicle and BEV will differ on the basis of what is needed to convert their respective stored energy to mechanical energy.
Technical Paper

Potential Cost Savings of Combining Power and Energy Batteries in a BEV 300

2016-04-05
2016-01-1213
Present-day battery technologies support a battery electric vehicle with a 300mile range (BEV 300), but the cost of such a vehicle hinders its large-scale adoption by consumers. The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) has set aggressive cost targets for battery technologies. At present, no single technology meets the cost, energy, and power requirements of a BEV 300, but a combination of multiple batteries with different capabilities might be able to lower the overall cost closer to the DOE target. This study looks at how such a combination can be implemented in vehicle simulation models and compares the vehicle manufacturing and operating costs to a baseline BEV 300. Preliminary analysis shows an opportunity to modestly reduce BEV 300 energy storage system cost by about 8% using a battery pack that combines an energy and power battery. The baseline vehicle considered in the study uses a single battery sized to meet both the power and energy requirements of a BEV 300.
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