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A heavy-duty vehicle (HDV) module of the Greenhouse gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy use in Transportation (GREETTM) model has been developed at Argonne National Laboratory. The fuel-cycle GREET model has been published extensively and contains data on fuel-cycles and vehicle operation of light-duty vehicles. The addition of the HDV module to the GREET model allows for well-to-wheel (WTW) analyses of heavy-duty advanced technology and alternative fuel vehicles (AFVs), which has been lacking in the literature. WTW analyses of HDVs becomes increasingly important to understand the fuel consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions impacts of newly enacted and future HDV regulations from the Environmental Protection Agency and the Department of Transportation’s National Highway Traffic Safety Administration.

Long-haul and other heavy-duty trucks, presently almost entirely powered by diesel fuel, face challenges meeting worldwide needs for greatly reducing nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions. Dual-fuel gasoline-alcohol engines could potentially provide a means to cost-effectively meet this need at large scale in the relatively near term. They could also provide reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. These spark ignition (SI) flexible fuel engines can provide operation over a wide fuel range from mainly gasoline use to 100% alcohol use. The alcohol can be ethanol or methanol. Use of stoichiometric operation and a three-way catalytic converter can reduce NOx by around 90% relative to emissions from diesel engines with state of the art exhaust treatment.

This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of emerging powertrain technologies for a wide spectrum of vehicles, ranging from light-duty passenger vehicles to medium and heavy-duty trucks. The study focuses on the anticipated evolution of these technologies over the coming decades, assessing their potential benefits and impact on sustainability. The analysis encompasses simulations across a wide range of vehicle classes, including compact, midsize, small SUVs, midsize SUVs, and pickups, as well as various truck types, such as class 4 step vans, class 6 box trucks, and class 8 regional and long-haul trucks. It evaluates key performance metrics, including fuel consumption, estimated purchase price, and total cost of ownership, for these vehicles equipped with advanced powertrain technologies such as mild hybrid, full hybrid, plug-in hybrid, battery electric, and fuel cell powertrains.