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In response to the stipulations of the Energy Policy and Conservation Act and the global momentum toward carbon mitigation, there has been a pronounced tightening of fuel economy standards for manufacturers. This stricter regulation is coupled with an accelerated transition to electric vehicles, catalyzed by advances in electrification technology and a decline in battery cost. Improvements in the fuel economy of medium- and heavy-duty vehicles through electrification are particularly noteworthy. Estimating the magnitude of fuel economy improvements that result from technological advances in these vehicles is key to effective policymaking. In this research, we generated vehicle models based on assumptions regarding advanced transportation component technologies and powertrains to estimate potential vehicle-level fuel savings. We also developed a systematic approach to evaluating a vehicle’s fuel economy by calibrating the size of the components to satisfy performance requirements.

This paper examines, for several major markets, the fuel savings achievable with advanced engine technologies as “drop-in” substitutions for existing engines, as well as from increased electric hybridization of the powertrain. Key segments of light duty vehicles in major automotive markets including the US, China, EU, Japan, India, and Saudi Arabia were examined. Representative vehicles for each market were simulated using advanced vehicle modeling tools and evaluated on the relevant local regulatory cycle or cycles. In all cases, to ensure meaningful results, the performance of a given vehicle was maintained as engine and powertrain technology was varied through appropriate resizing of powertrain components. In total, 4 engine technologies and 5 powertrain architectures were simulated for 5 different markets.

The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) has been leading U.S. efforts related to the rulemaking process for Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards. Argonne National Laboratory, a U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) national laboratory, has developed a full-vehicle simulation tool called Autonomie that has become one of the industry standard tools for analyzing vehicle performance, energy consumption, and technology effectiveness. Through an Interagency Agreement, the DOE Argonne Site Office and Argonne National Laboratory have been tasked with conducting full vehicle simulation to support NHTSA CAFE rulemaking. This paper presents an innovative approach focused on large-scale simulation processes spanning standard regulatory driving cycles, diverse vehicle classes, and various timeframes. A key element of this approach is Autonomie’s capacity to integrate advanced engine technologies tailored to specific vehicle classes and powertrains.

The objective of this study was to evaluate the fuel saving potential of various hybrid powertrain architectures for medium and heavy duty vehicles. The relative benefit of each powertrain was analyzed, and the observed fuel savings was explained in terms of operational efficiency gains, regenerative braking benefits from powertrain electrification and differences in vehicle curb weight. Vehicles designed for various purposes, namely urban delivery, utility, transit, refuse, drayage, regional and long haul were included in this work. Fuel consumption was measured in regulatory cycles and various real world representative cycles. A diesel-powered conventional powertrain variant was first developed for each case, based on vehicle technical specifications for each type of truck. Autonomie, a simulation tool developed by Argonne National Laboratory, was used for carrying out the vehicle modeling, sizing and fuel economy evaluation.

This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of emerging powertrain technologies for a wide spectrum of vehicles, ranging from light-duty passenger vehicles to medium and heavy-duty trucks. The study focuses on the anticipated evolution of these technologies over the coming decades, assessing their potential benefits and impact on sustainability. The analysis encompasses simulations across a wide range of vehicle classes, including compact, midsize, small SUVs, midsize SUVs, and pickups, as well as various truck types, such as class 4 step vans, class 6 box trucks, and class 8 regional and long-haul trucks. It evaluates key performance metrics, including fuel consumption, estimated purchase price, and total cost of ownership, for these vehicles equipped with advanced powertrain technologies such as mild hybrid, full hybrid, plug-in hybrid, battery electric, and fuel cell powertrains.

The peak efficiency of modern spark ignited engines varies from 36% to 40% depending on the exact technology utilized. Most engines can achieve this peak efficiency for a limited operating region. Multi-speed transmissions allow the engine to operate closer to its most efficient operating regions for more significant portions of operation. In the case of hybrid powertrains, electric machines help in improving engine efficiency by adjusting operating speed and load. Engine shutdown during idle events and low loads is another avenue for improving the overall efficiency. The choice of the ideal powertrain and component sizes depends on the engine characteristics, drive cycles and vehicle technical requirements. This study examines what type of powertrains will be suitable for more efficient engines that are likely to be available in the near future. Some of the new technologies achieve higher efficiency with a trade off on power or by accepting a more restrictive operating region.

Over the past couple of years, Argonne National Laboratory has tested, analyzed, and validated automobile models for the light duty vehicle class, including several types of powertrains including conventional, hybrid electric, plug-in hybrid electric and battery electric vehicles. Argonne’s previous works focused on the light duty vehicle models, but no work has been done on medium and heavy-duty vehicles. This study focuses on the validation of shifting control in advanced automatic transmission technologies for medium duty vehicles by using Argonne’s model-based high-fidelity, forward-looking, vehicle simulation tool, Autonomie. Different medium duty vehicles, from Argonne’s own fleet, including the Ram 2500, Ford F-250 and Ford F-350, were tested with the equipment for OBD (on-board diagnostics) signal data record. For the medium duty vehicles, a workflow process was used to import test data.

The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) plays a crucial role in guiding the formulation of Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards, and at the forefront of this regulatory process stands Argonne National Laboratory (Argonne). Argonne, a U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) research institution, has developed Autonomie—an advanced and comprehensive full-vehicle simulation tool that has solidified its status as an industry standard for evaluating vehicle performance, energy consumption, and the effectiveness of various technologies. Under the purview of an Inter-Agency Agreement (IAA), the DOE Argonne Site Office (ASO) and Argonne have assumed the responsibility of conducting full-vehicle simulations to support NHTSA's CAFE rulemaking initiatives. This paper introduces an innovative approach that hinges on a large-scale simulation process, encompassing standard regulatory driving cycles tailored to various vehicle classes and spanning diverse timeframes.