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Technical Paper

Analyzing the Expense: Cost Modeling for State-of-the-Art Electric Vehicle Battery Packs

2024-04-09
2024-01-2202
The Battery Performance and Cost Model (BatPaC), developed by Argonne National Laboratory, is a versatile tool designed for lithium-ion battery (LIB) pack engineering. It accommodates user-defined specifications, generating detailed bill-of-materials calculations and insights into cell dimensions and pack characteristics. Pre-loaded with default data sets, BatPaC aids in estimating production costs for battery packs produced at scale (5 to 50 GWh annually). Acknowledging inherent uncertainties in parameters, the tool remains accessible and valuable for designers and engineers. BatPaC plays a crucial role in National Highway Transportation Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) regulatory assessments, providing estimated battery pack manufacturing costs and weight metrics for electric vehicles. Integrated with Argonne's Autonomie simulations, BatPaC streamlines large-scale processes, replacing traditional models with lookup tables.
Technical Paper

Vehicle Lightweighting Impacts on Energy Consumption Reduction Potential Across Advanced Vehicle Powertrains

2024-04-09
2024-01-2266
The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) plays a crucial role in guiding the formulation of Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards, and at the forefront of this regulatory process stands Argonne National Laboratory (Argonne). Argonne, a U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) research institution, has developed Autonomie—an advanced and comprehensive full-vehicle simulation tool that has solidified its status as an industry standard for evaluating vehicle performance, energy consumption, and the effectiveness of various technologies. Under the purview of an Inter-Agency Agreement (IAA), the DOE Argonne Site Office (ASO) and Argonne have assumed the responsibility of conducting full-vehicle simulations to support NHTSA's CAFE rulemaking initiatives. This paper introduces an innovative approach that hinges on a large-scale simulation process, encompassing standard regulatory driving cycles tailored to various vehicle classes and spanning diverse timeframes.
Technical Paper

Powering Tomorrow's Light, Medium, and Heavy-Duty Vehicles: A Comprehensive Techno-Economic Examination of Emerging Powertrain Technologies

2024-04-09
2024-01-2446
This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of emerging powertrain technologies for a wide spectrum of vehicles, ranging from light-duty passenger vehicles to medium and heavy-duty trucks. The study focuses on the anticipated evolution of these technologies over the coming decades, assessing their potential benefits and impact on sustainability. The analysis encompasses simulations across a wide range of vehicle classes, including compact, midsize, small SUVs, midsize SUVs, and pickups, as well as various truck types, such as class 4 step vans, class 6 box trucks, and class 8 regional and long-haul trucks. It evaluates key performance metrics, including fuel consumption, estimated purchase price, and total cost of ownership, for these vehicles equipped with advanced powertrain technologies such as mild hybrid, full hybrid, plug-in hybrid, battery electric, and fuel cell powertrains.
Technical Paper

Impact of Advanced Engine Technologies on Energy Consumption Reduction Potentials

2024-04-09
2024-01-2825
The establishment of Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards by the Energy Policy and Conservation Act (EPCA) of 1975 marked a pivotal moment in the automotive industry's pursuit of greater fuel efficiency. The responsibility for the development and enforcement of these standards was assigned to the U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT), with the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) assuming a critical role in their oversight and implementation. In collaboration with Argonne National Laboratory (Argonne), supported by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), significant strides have been made in advancing fuel efficiency through the development of Autonomie, a leading full-vehicle simulation tool. Through an Inter-Agency Agreement between the DOE Argonne Site Office and Argonne, comprehensive full-vehicle simulations are conducted to support NHTSA's CAFE rulemaking processes.
Technical Paper

An Ultra-Light Heuristic Algorithm for Autonomous Optimal Eco-Driving

2023-04-11
2023-01-0679
Connected autonomy brings with it the means of significantly increasing vehicle Energy Economy (EE) through optimal Eco-Driving control. Much research has been conducted in the area of autonomous Eco-Driving control via various methods. Generally, proposed algorithms fall into the broad categories of rules-based controls, optimal controls, and meta-heuristics. Proposed algorithms also vary in cost function type with the 2-norm of acceleration being common. In a previous study the authors classified and implemented commonly represented methods from the literature using real-world data. Results from the study showed a tradeoff between EE improvement and run-time and that the best overall performers were meta-heuristics. Results also showed that cost functions sensitive to the 1-norm of acceleration led to better performance than those which directly minimize the 2-norm.
Technical Paper

Autonomous Eco-Driving Evaluation of an Electric Vehicle on a Chassis Dynamometer

2023-04-11
2023-01-0715
Connected and Automated Vehicles (CAV) provide new prospects for energy-efficient driving due to their improved information accessibility, enhanced processing capacity, and precise control. The idea of the Eco-Driving (ED) control problem is to perform energy-efficient speed planning for a connected and automated vehicle using data obtained from high-resolution maps and Vehicle-to-Everything (V2X) communication. With the recent goal of commercialization of autonomous vehicle technology, more research has been done to the investigation of autonomous eco-driving control. Previous research for autonomous eco-driving control has shown that energy efficiency improvements can be achieved by using optimization techniques. Most of these studies are conducted through simulations, but many more physical vehicle integrated test application studies are needed.
Technical Paper

Quantitative Resilience Assessment of GPS, IMU, and LiDAR Sensor Fusion for Vehicle Localization Using Resilience Engineering Theory

2023-04-11
2023-01-0576
Practical applications of recently developed sensor fusion algorithms perform poorly in the real world due to a lack of proper evaluation during development. Existing evaluation metrics do not properly address a wide variety of testing scenarios. This issue can be addressed using proactive performance measurements such as the tools of resilience engineering theory rather than reactive performance measurements such as root mean square error. Resilience engineering is an established discipline for evaluating proactive performance on complex socio-technical systems which has been underutilized for automated vehicle development and evaluation. In this study, we use resilience engineering metrics to assess the performance of a sensor fusion algorithm for vehicle localization. A Kalman Filter is used to fuse GPS, IMU and LiDAR data for vehicle localization in the CARLA simulator.
Technical Paper

Performance Evaluation of an Autonomous Vehicle Using Resilience Engineering

2022-03-29
2022-01-0067
Standard operation of autonomous vehicles on public roads results in significant exposure to high levels of risk. There is a significant need to develop metrics that evaluate safety of an automated system without reliance on the rate of vehicle accidents and fatalities compared to the number of miles driven; a proactive rather than a reactive metric is needed. Resilience engineering is a new paradigm for safety management that focuses on evaluating complex systems and their interaction with the environment. This paper presents the overall methodology of resilience engineering and the resilience assessment grid (RAG) as an evaluation tool to measure autonomous systems' resilience. This assessment tool was used to evaluate the ability to respond to the system. A Pure Pursuit controller was developed and utilized as the path tracking control algorithm, and the Carla simulator was used to implement the algorithm and develop the testing environment for this methodology.
Technical Paper

Quantifying Repeatability of Real-World On-Road Driving Using Dynamic Time Warping

2022-03-29
2022-01-0269
There are numerous activities in the automotive industry in which a vehicle drives a pre-defined route multiple times such as portable emissions measurement systems testing or real-world electric vehicle range testing. The speed profile is not the same for each drive cycle due to uncontrollable real-world variables such as traffic, stoplights, stalled vehicles, or weather conditions. It can be difficult to compare each run accurately. To this end, this paper presents a method to compare and quantify the repeatability of real-world on-road vehicle driving schedules using dynamic time warping (DTW). DTW is a well-developed computational algorithm which compares two different time-series signals describing the same underlying phenomenon but occurring at different time scales. DTW is applied to real-world, on-road drive cycles, and metrics are developed to quantify similarities between these drive cycles.
Technical Paper

High-Fidelity Modeling of Light-Duty Vehicle Emission and Fuel Economy Using Deep Neural Networks

2021-04-06
2021-01-0181
The transportation sector contributes significantly to emissions and air pollution globally. Emission models of modern vehicles are important tools to estimate the impact of technologies or controls on vehicle emission reductions, but developing a simple and high-fidelity model is challenging due to the variety of vehicle classes, driving conditions, driver behaviors, and other physical and operational constraints. Recent literature indicates that neural network-based models may be able to address these concerns due to their high computation speed and high-accuracy of predicted emissions. In this study, we seek to expand upon this initial research by utilizing several deep neural networks (DNN) architectures such as a recurrent neural network (RNN) and a convolutional neural network (CNN). These DNN algorithms are developed specific to the vehicle-out emissions prediction application, and a comprehensive assessment of their performances is done.
Journal Article

Forecasting Short to Mid-Length Speed Trajectories of Preceding Vehicle Using V2X Connectivity for Eco-Driving of Electric Vehicles

2021-04-06
2021-01-0431
In recent studies, optimal control has shown promise as a strategy for enhancing the energy efficiency of connected autonomous vehicles. To maximize optimization performance, it is important to accurately predict constraints, especially separation from a vehicle in front. This paper proposes a novel prediction method for forecasting the trajectory of the nearest preceding car. The proposed predictor is designed to produce short to medium-length speed trajectories using a locally weighted polynomial regression algorithm. The polynomial coefficients are trained by using two types of information: (1) vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) messages transmitted by multiple preceding vehicles and (2) vehicle-to-infrastructure (V2I) information broadcast by roadside equipment. The predictor’s performance was tested in a multi-vehicle traffic simulation platform, RoadRunner, previously developed by Argonne National Laboratory.
Technical Paper

A Real-Time Intelligent Speed Optimization Planner Using Reinforcement Learning

2021-04-06
2021-01-0434
As connectivity and sensing technologies become more mature, automated vehicles can predict future driving situations and utilize this information to drive more energy-efficiently than human-driven vehicles. However, future information beyond the limited connectivity and sensing range is difficult to predict and utilize, limiting the energy-saving potential of energy-efficient driving. Thus, we combine a conventional speed optimization planner, developed in our previous work, and reinforcement learning to propose a real-time intelligent speed optimization planner for connected and automated vehicles. We briefly summarize the conventional speed optimization planner with limited information, based on closed-form energy-optimal solutions, and present its multiple parameters that determine reference speed trajectories.
Technical Paper

Synchronous and Open, Real World, Vehicle, ADAS, and Infrastructure Data Streams for Automotive Machine Learning Algorithms Research

2020-04-14
2020-01-0736
Prediction based optimal energy management systems are a topic of high interest in the automotive industry as an effective, low-cost option for improving vehicle fuel efficiency. With the continuing development of connected and autonomous vehicle (CAV) technology there are many data streams which may be leveraged by transportation stakeholders. The Suite of CAVs-derived data streams includes advanced driver-assistance (ADAS) derived information about surrounding vehicles, vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) communications for real time and historical data, and vehicle-to-infrastructure (V2I) communications. The suite of CAVs-derived data streams have been demonstrated to enable improvements in system-level safety, emissions and fuel economy.
Technical Paper

Vehicle Velocity Prediction Using Artificial Neural Network and Effect of Real World Signals on Prediction Window

2020-04-14
2020-01-0729
Prediction of vehicle velocity is important since it can realize improvements in the fuel economy/energy efficiency, drivability, and safety. Velocity prediction has been addressed in many publications. Several references considered deterministic and stochastic approaches such as Markov chain, autoregressive models, and artificial neural networks. There are numerous new sensor and signal technologies like vehicle-to-vehicle and vehicle-to-infrastructure communication that can be used to obtain inclusive datasets. Using these inclusive datasets of sensors in deep neural networks, high accuracy velocity predictions can be achieved. This research builds upon previous findings that Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) deep neural networks provide low error velocity prediction. We developed an LSTM deep neural network that uses different groups of datasets collected in Fort Collins, Colorado.
Journal Article

Detailed Analysis of U.S. Department of Energy Engine Targets Compared to Existing Engine Technologies

2020-04-14
2020-01-0835
The U.S. Department of Energy, Vehicle Technologies Office (U.S. DOE-VTO) has been developing more energy-efficient and environmentally friendly highway transportation technologies that would enable the United States to burn less petroleum on the road. System simulation is an accepted approach for evaluating the fuel economy potential of advanced (future) technology targets. U.S. DOE-VTO defines the targets for advancement in powertrain technologies (e.g., engine efficiency targets, battery energy density, lightweighting, etc.) Vehicle system simulation models based on these targets have been generated in Autonomie, reflecting the different EPA classifications of vehicles for different advanced timeframes as part of the DOE Benefits and Scenario (BaSce) Analysis. It is also important to evaluate the progress of these component technical targets compared to existing technologies available in the market.
Technical Paper

Validating Heavy-Duty Vehicle Models Using a Platooning Scenario

2019-04-02
2019-01-1248
Connectivity and automation provide the potential to use information about the environment and future driving to minimize energy consumption. Aerodynamic drag can also be reduced by close-gap platooning using information from vehicle-to-vehicle communications. In order to achieve these goals, the designers of control strategies need to simulate a wide range of driving situations in which vehicles interact with other vehicles and the infrastructure in a closed-loop fashion. RoadRunner is a new model-based system engineering platform based on Autonomie software, which can collectively provide the necessary tools to predict energy consumption for various driving decisions and scenarios such as car-following, free-flow, or eco-approach driving, and thereby can help in developing control algorithms.
Technical Paper

Analysis and Model Validation of the Toyota Prius Prime

2019-04-02
2019-01-0369
The Toyota Prius Prime is a new generation of Toyota Prius plug-in hybrid electric vehicle, the electric drive range of which is 25 miles. This version is improved from the previous version by the addition of a one-way clutch between the engine and the planetary gear-set, which enables the generator to add electric propulsive force. The vehicle was analyzed, developed and validated based on test data from Argonne National Laboratory’s Advanced Powertrain Research Facility, where chassis dynamometer set temperature can be controlled in a thermal chamber. First, we analyzed and developed components such as engine, battery, motors, wheels and chassis, including thermal aspects based on test data. By developing models considering thermal aspects, it is possible to simulate the vehicle driving not only in normal temperatures but also in hot, cold, or warmed-up conditions.
Technical Paper

Colorado State University EcoCAR 3 Final Technical Report

2019-04-02
2019-01-0360
Driven by consumer demand and environmental regulations, market share for plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) continues to increase. An opportunity remains to develop PHEVs that also meet consumer demand for performance. As a participant in the EcoCAR 3 competition, Colorado State University’s Vehicle Innovation Team (CSU VIT) has converted a 2016 Chevy Camaro to a PHEV architecture with the aim of improving efficiency and emissions while maintaining drivability and performance. To verify the vehicle and its capabilities, the CSU Camaro is rigorously tested by means of repeatable circumstances of physical operation while Controller Area Network (CAN) loggers record various measurements from several sensors. This data is analyzed to determine consistent output and coordination between components of the electrical charge and discharge system, as well as the traditional powertrain.
Technical Paper

Fuel Consumption and Performance Benefits of Electrified Powertrains for Transit Buses

2018-04-03
2018-01-0321
This study presents a process to quantify the fuel saving potential of electrified powertrains for medium and heavy duty vehicles. For this study, equivalent vehicles with electrified powertrains are designed with the underlying principle of not compromising on cargo carrying capacity or performance. Several performance characteristics, that are relevant for all types of medium and heavy duty vehicles, were identified for benchmarking based on the feedback from the industry. Start-stop hybrids, parallel pre-transmission hybrids, plug-in hybrids, and battery electric vehicles are the technology choices in this study. This paper uses one vehicle as an example, explains the component sizing process followed for each powertrain, and examines each powertrain’s fuel saving potential. The process put forth in this paper can be used for evaluating vehicles that belong to all medium and heavy duty classes.
Technical Paper

Vehicle Electrification in Chile: A Life Cycle Assessment and Techno-Economic Analysis Using Data Generated by Autonomie Vehicle Modeling Software

2018-04-03
2018-01-0660
The environmental implications of converting vehicles powered by Internal Combustion Engines (ICE) to battery powered and hybrid battery/ICE powered are evaluated for the case of Chile, one of the worldwide leaders in the production of lithium (Li) required for manufacturing of Li-ion batteries. The economic and environmental metrics were evaluated by techno-economic analysis (TEA) and Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) tools - SuperPro Designer and Gabi®/GREET® models. The system boundary includes both the renewable and nonrenewable energy sources available in Chile and well-to-pump energy consumptions and GHG emissions due to Li mining and Li-ion battery manufacturing. All the major input data required for TEA and LCA were generated using Autonomie vehicle modeling software. This study compares economic and environmental indicators of three vehicle models for the case of Chile including compact, mid-size, and a light duty truck.
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