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Technical Paper

Application of Extreme Value Theory to Crash Data Analysis

2017-11-13
2017-22-0011
A parametric model obtained by fitting a set of data to a function generally uses a procedure such as maximum likelihood or least squares. In general this will generate the best estimate for the distribution of the data overall but will not necessarily generate a reasonable estimation for the tail of the distribution unless the function fitted resembles the underlying distribution function. A distribution function can represent an estimate that is significantly different from the actual tail data, while the bulk of the data is reasonably represented by the central part of the fitted distribution. Extreme value theory can be used to improve the predictive capabilities of the fitted function in the tail region. In this study the peak-over-threshold approach from the extreme value theory was utilized to show that it is possible to obtain a better fit of the tail of a distribution than the procedures that use the entire distribution only.
Journal Article

Forward Collision Warning Timing in Near Term Applications

2013-04-08
2013-01-0727
Forward Collision Warning (FCW) is a system intended to warn the driver in order to reduce the number of rear end collisions or reduce the severity of collisions. However, it has the potential to generate driver annoyances and unintended consequences due to high ineffectual (false or unnecessary) alarms with a corresponding reduction in the total system effectiveness. The ineffectual alarm rate is known to be closely associated with the “time to issue warning.” This results in a conflicting set of requirements. The earlier the time the warning is issued, the greater probability of reducing the severity of the impact or eliminating it. However, with an earlier warning time there is a greater chance of ineffectual warning, which could result in significant annoyance, frequent complaints and the driver's disengagement of the FCW. Disengaging the FCW eliminates its potential benefits.
Journal Article

Statistical Considerations for Evaluating Biofidelity, Repeatability, and Reproducibility of ATDs

2013-04-08
2013-01-1249
Reliable testing of a mechanical system requires the procedures used for the evaluation to be repeatable and reproducible. However, it is never possible to exactly repeat or reproduce the tests that are used for evaluation. To overcome this limitation, a statistical evaluation procedure can generally be used. However, most of the statistical procedures use scalar values as input without the ability to handle vectors or time-histories. To overcome these limitations, two numerical/statistical methods for determining if the impact time-history response of a mechanical system is repeatable or reproducible are evaluated and elaborated upon. Such a system could be a vehicle, a biological human surrogate, an Anthropometric Test Device (ATD or dummy), etc. The responses could be sets of time-histories of accelerations, forces, moments, etc., of a component or of the system. The example system evaluated is the BioRID II rear impact dummy.
Journal Article

What's Speed Got To Do With It?

2010-04-12
2010-01-0526
The statistical analysis of vehicle crash accident data is generally problematic. Data from commonly used sources is almost never without error and complete. Consequently, many analyses are contaminated with modeling and system identification errors. In some cases the effect of influential factors such as crash severity (the most significant component being speed) driver behavior prior to the crash, etc. on vehicle and occupant outcome is not adequately addressed. The speed that the vehicle is traveling at the initiation of a crash is a significant contributor to occupant risk. Not incorporating it may make an accident analysis irrelevant; however, despite its importance this information is not included in many of the commonly used crash data bases, such as the Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS). Missing speed information can result in potential errors propagating throughout the analysis, unless a method is developed to account for the missing information.
Technical Paper

Evaluation of the Hybrid III 10-year-Old Dummy Chest Response in the Sled Test Environment

2010-04-12
2010-01-0137
Ten sled tests were conducted with a Hybrid III 10-year-old dummy under a 3-point belt only restraint condition to evaluate its performance. The results of the Hybrid III 10-year-old in these tests indicate that there are artifactural noise spikes observable in the transducer responses. A number of metal-to-metal contacts in the shoulder area were identified as one of the sources for the chest acceleration spikes. Noise spikes were also observed in the response from multiple body regions; however, the source of the spikes could not be determined. Compared to the other Hybrid III dummies, non-characteristic dummy chest deflection responses were also observed. This limited analysis indicates that the Hybrid III 10-year-old dummy requires additional development work to eliminate the metal-to-metal contacts in the shoulder area and to understand and correct the other sources of the noise spikes. More investigation is needed to determine if the chest deflection response is appropriate.
Technical Paper

An Impact Pulse-Restraint Energy Relationship and Its Applications

2003-03-03
2003-01-0505
This paper presents an energy relationship between vehicle impact pulses and restraint systems and applies the relationship to formulations of response factors for linear and nonlinear restraints. It also applies the relationship to derive optimal impact pulses that minimize occupant response for linear and nonlinear restraints. The relationship offers a new viewpoint to impact pulse optimization and simplifies the process mathematically. In addition, the effects of different vehicle impact pulses on the occupant responses with nonlinear restraints are studied. Finally, concepts of equivalent pulses and equal intensity pulses are presented for nonlinear restraints.
Technical Paper

ES-2 Dummy Biomechanical Responses

2002-11-11
2002-22-0018
This technical paper presents the results of biomechanical testing conducted on the ES-2 dummy by the Occupant Safety Research Partnership and Transport Canada. The ES-2 is a production dummy, based on the EuroSID-1 dummy, that was modified to further improve testing capabilities as recommended by users of the EuroSID-1 dummy. Biomechanical response data were obtained by completing a series of drop, pendulum, and sled tests that are outlined in the International Organization of Standardization Technical Report 9790 that describes biofidelity requirements for the midsize adult male side impact dummy. A few of the biofidelity tests were conducted on both sides of the dummy to evaluate the symmetry of its responses. Full vehicle crash tests were conducted to verify if the changes in the EuroSID-1, resulting in the ES-2 design, did improve the dummy's testing capability. In addition to the biofidelity testing, the ES-2 dummy repeatability, reproducibility and durability are discussed.
Technical Paper

WorldSID Prototype Dummy Biomechanical Responses

2001-11-01
2001-22-0013
The results of biomechanical testing of the WorldSID prototype dummy are presented in this paper. The WorldSID dummy is a new, advanced Worldwide Side Impact Dummy that has the anthropometry of a mid-sized adult male. The first prototype of this dummy has been evaluated by the WorldSID Task Group against previously established corridors for its critical body regions. The response corridors are defined in the International Organization of Standardization (ISO) Technical Report 9790. The prototype is the first version of the WorldSID dummy to be built and tested. This dummy has been subjected to a rigorous program of testing to evaluate, first and foremost its biofidelity, but also its repeatability. Following this initial evaluation, any required modifications will be incorporated into a pre-production version of the WorldSID dummy so that it rates “good” to “excellent” on the ISO dummy biofidelity scale – a rating exceeding that of all current side impact dummies.
Technical Paper

Comparative Performance Evaluation of THOR and Hybrid III

2000-03-06
2000-01-0161
A comparison of the NHTSA advanced dummy, THOR, and the Hybrid III dummy is presented in this paper, based on their performance in four vehicle barrier tests, six HYGE sled tests and twenty two pendulum chest–impact tests. Various time–histories pertaining to accelerations, angular motions, deflections, forces and moments are compared between the two dummies in light of their design difference. In general, in the vehicle crash tests, the resultant head acceleration and chest deflection in THOR are greater than those in the HYBRID III. The shear, axial force and lateral moment in THOR's lumbar are less than those in the Hybrid III in frontal impacts. The differences in the head/chest acceleration and chest deflection could be due to the differences in the construction of the neck and the thorax of the THOR when compared to those of the Hybrid III. The THOR and the Hybrid III have the same level of repeatability in the rear impact sled tests.
Technical Paper

A Data-Based Model of the Impact Response of the SID

2000-03-06
2000-01-0635
A simple spring-mass model of the impact response of the side impact dummy (SID) is established. The spring and mass constants of the model are established through system identification methodology based on data from impact tests. The tests are performed in laboratory with hydraulically driven impactors impacting the chest and pelvis of the SID. The input data to the model consist of measured contact force or impactor velocity time histories, and the output data are accelerations on the rib, spine, and pelvis of the SID. The established model appears to predict the test results with reasonable accuracy. The main purpose of this study, however, is to use this simple model to carry out parametric studies of the response of the dummy with changing impact parameters, the result of which would be useful in understanding vehicle crash tests using the SID.
Technical Paper

Data-Based Models for Spine Acceleration Response of the Side Impact Dummy

1999-10-10
99SC07
The response of the spine acceleration to rib and pelvis acceleration input of the side impact dummy (SID) is modeled using system identification methods. The basis for the modeling is a simplified representation of the SID by a 3-mass, 2-spring system. Based on this spring-mass representation, two types of response models are established. The first is a "gray-box" type with rib/pelvis-spine relationship modeled by Auto Regression with eXogeneous (or eXtra) input (ARX) type system models. The structure of these models is partially based on the spring-mass simplified representation, hence the notion "gray- box." The parameters of these models are identified through linear regression from test data. The second type of models is noted "physical model" here, since it is strictly a state- space form of the equation of motion of the simple spring-mass representation.
Technical Paper

SID-IIs Beta+-Prototype Dummy Biomechanical Responses

1998-11-02
983151
This paper presents the results of biomechanical testing of the SID-IIs beta+-prototype dummy by the Occupant Safety Research Partnership. The purpose of this testing was to evaluate the dummy against its previously established biomechanical response corridors for its critical body regions. The response corridors were scaled from the 50th percentile adult male corridors defined in International Standards Organization Technical Report 9790 to corridors for a 5th percentile adult female, using established International Standards Organization procedures. Tests were performed for the head, neck, shoulder, thorax, abdomen and pelvis regions of the dummy. Testing included drop tests, pendulum impacts and sled tests. The biofidelity of the SID-IIs beta+-prototype was calculated using a weighted biomechanical test response procedure developed by the International Standards Organization.
Technical Paper

Estimation of Occupant Position from Probability Manifolds of Air Bag Fire-times

1998-02-23
980643
This paper outlines a method for estimating the probablistic nature of airbag crash sensor response and its effect on occupant position. Probability surfaces of airbag fire times are constructed for the impact velocities from 0 to 40 mph. These probability surfaces are obtained by using both frontal offset deformable barrier and frontal rigid barrier crash data. Another probability surface of displacement is constructed to estimate the occupant displacement time history before airbag deployment. This probability surface is constructed by using the initial occupant seating position data and the vehicle impact velocity and deceleration data. In addition, the probability of airbag firing at a given crash velocity is estimated from NASS-CDS, frontal offset and rigid barrier crash data.
Technical Paper

Cavitation During Head Impact

1997-02-24
970390
The effects of stress in brain material was investigated with experimental and computational idealizations of the head. A water-filled cylinder impacted by a free traveling mass serves to give insight into what could happen to the brain during impact. Under an impact of sufficient velocity, cavitation can occur on the cylinder boundary opposite impact. Limited internal vaporization of the fluid may also occur during severe impact events. Cavitation occurred in these experiments at accelerations greater than 150 g's. Head forms of different sizing will experience an acceleration magnitude inversely proportional to the size difference to produce a similar pressure/cavitation response.
Technical Paper

COMPARISON OF THE PRE-PROTOTYPE NHTSA ADVANCED DUMMY TO THE HYBRID III

1997-02-24
971141
A comparison of the NHTSA advanced dummy and the Hybrid III is presented in this paper based on their performance in twenty four frontal impact sled tests. Various time histories pertaining to accelerations, angular velocities, deflections and forces have been compared between the two dummies in light of their design differences. This has lead to some understanding about the differences and similarities between the NHTSA advanced dummy and the Hybrid III. In general, the chest as well as the head motion in the NHTSA advanced dummy are greater. The lumbar moments in the NHTSA advanced dummy are lower than that in the Hybrid III. The upper and lower spine segments in the NHTSA advanced dummy, generally rotate more than the spine of the Hybrid III.
Technical Paper

Critical Limitations on Significant Factors in Head Injury Research

1986-10-27
861890
The response of the head to blunt impact was investigated using anesthetized live and repressurized- and unrepressurized-postmortem Rhesus. The stationary test subject was struck on the occipital by a 10 kg guided moving impactor. The impactor striking surface was fitted with padding to vary the contact force-time characteristics. A nine-accelerometer system, rigidly affixed to the skull, measured head motion. Transducers placed at specific points below the skull recorded epidural pressure. The repressurization of postmortem subjects included repressurization of both the vascular and cerebrospinal systems.
Technical Paper

Thoraco-Abdominal Response to Steering Wheel Impacts

1985-12-01
851737
Mechanisms of thoraco-abdominal trauma were investigated utilizing unembalmed, repressurized human cadavers subjected to frontal impact with a steering wheel assembly. The focus of this research program was on trauma to the soft-tissue organs surrounded by the thoracic cage, as well as on the kinematic response of the thoracic cage. The results are compared to other thoraco-abdominal research programs conducted at the University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute (UMTRI) during the last eight years.
Technical Paper

UMTRI Experimental Techniques in Head Injury Research

1985-06-01
851244
This paper discusses techniques developed and used by the Biosciences Group at the University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute (UMTRI) for measuring three-dimensional head motion, skull bone strain, epidural pressure, and internal brain motion of repressurized cadavers and Rhesus monkeys during head impact. In the experimental design, a stationary test subject is struck by a guided moving impactor of 10 kg (monkeys) and 25 or 65 kg (cadavers). The impactor striking surface is fitted with padding to vary the contact force-time characteristics. The experimental technique uses a nine-accelerometer system rigidly affixed to the skull to measure head motion, transducers placed at specific points below the skull to record epidural pressure, repressurization of both the vascular and cerebrospinal systems, and high-speed cineradiography (at 1000 frames per second) of radiopaque targets.
Technical Paper

Thoracic Response to FrontalImpact

1985-04-01
851721
Heart-aortic trauma was investigated using live, anesthetized and postmortem canines subjected to frontal impact with a blunt impactor. The major focuses of this research program were: trauma to the heart aortic system, the kinematic response of the thoracic cage, and pressure in the ascending and descending aorta.
Technical Paper

Significance of Head-to-Knee impacts—A Comparison of Dummy and Cadaver Responses

1984-10-01
841662
Head-to-knee interaction of the right front passenger dummy can occur in some 30-35 MPH crash barrier tests. The biofidelity and significance of these interactions as related to predicting human response was addressed in this study. In a series of laboratory experiments an instrumented headform was dropped on the dummy knee to simulate the barrier interactions. These test results were then related to the human by dropping the same headform on the cadaver leg. The instrumented headform was dropped from three heights to impact the Part 572 dummy knee at three velocities. Two impact sites and two impact angles were used. These test parameters bracketed the barrier conditions. Measurements from headform accelerometers permitted calculation of HIC value for comparison to barrier values. Comparable experiments were subsequently performed with three unembalmed cadaver subjects using the same headform and test procedures.
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